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MR

MrBently

0xa39a…1246polymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
$587.64
Win rate
58.7%
59 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$12.77
30d PnL
$252.55
30d trades
50
30d wins
18
36.0%
30d volume
$48.7k
Category edge
Sports
40.0%
-6.7pp
n=10

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
44.8% (43 wins / 53 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 9 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 24-day series
$1.70k
-$11.1k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.58 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.61Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $281Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.45 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 61¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $281.40 · p90 $1.96k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 13:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·21m ago·0xa39a…1246why? →
Cleveland Guardians on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
15 @ 0.690
BUY·21m ago·0xa39a…1246why? →
Los Angeles Angels on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
1700 @ 0.500
BUY·27m ago·0xa39a…1246why? →
Cleveland Guardians on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
1999.99 @ 0.680
BUY·1d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
New York Mets on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
-$64.80 · 120 @ 0.540
BUY·1d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
New York Mets on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
-$426.06 · 789 @ 0.540
BUY·1d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
San Diego Padres on San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
+$1.77k · 5000 @ 0.646
BUY·1d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-$410.45 · 735.58 @ 0.558
BUY·1d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$367.07 · 734.15 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$3.12k · 6122.5 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$1.85k · 3500 @ 0.470
SELL·2d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on Olympiakós SFP vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
-$1.85 · 1849.76 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Yes on Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: Both Teams to Score
-$2.80 · 10 @ 0.280
SELL·3d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
-$26.98 · 299.77 @ 0.910
BUY·8d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5
+$532.00 · 1520 @ 0.650
BUY·10d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
New York Yankees on Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
+$42.00 · 100 @ 0.580
SELL·10d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
-$0.70 · 700 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
+$16.40 · 40 @ 0.590
BUY·10d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Yes on Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?
+$731.00 · 1700 @ 0.570
SELL·10d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
KT Wiz on KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz
-$1.97 · 1966 @ 0.999
SELL·10d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
KT Wiz on KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz
-$0.50 · 501 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
KT Wiz on KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz
+$19.53 · 67 @ 0.709
BUY·10d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
KT Wiz on KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz
+$768.00 · 2400 @ 0.680
BUY·11d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Baltimore Orioles on Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles
+$1.06k · 2416.42 @ 0.560
BUY·11d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Mirra Andreeva on US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova
+$8.20 · 20 @ 0.590
BUY·11d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Baltimore Orioles on Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles
+$641.72 · 1458.45 @ 0.560
BUY·12d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Seattle Mariners on Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
+$153.00 · 450 @ 0.660
BUY·12d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Seattle Mariners on Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
+$353.83 · 1010.94 @ 0.650
BUY·12d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Seattle Mariners on Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
-$345.00 · 500 @ 0.690
BUY·12d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Tampa Bay Rays on Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
+$600.00 · 1000 @ 0.400
BUY·14d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Cleveland Guardians on Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$705.00 · 1500 @ 0.530
SELL·14d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5
-$0.78 · 780 @ 0.999
SELL·14d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5
-$0.53 · 533 @ 0.999
SELL·14d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5
-$0.46 · 460 @ 0.999
BUY·19d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
New York Mets on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
-$1.01k · 1780 @ 0.570
BUY·19d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
New York Mets on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
-$2.65k · 5000 @ 0.530
BUY·19d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Houston Astros on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
+$177.92 · 278 @ 0.360
BUY·20d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5
-$1.40k · 2087.84 @ 0.670
BUY·21d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
New York Mets on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
-$29.77 · 59.55 @ 0.500
BUY·21d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
New York Mets on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
-$2.00k · 4000 @ 0.500
BUY·21d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
New York Mets on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
-$3.45k · 6900 @ 0.500
BUY·21d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Chicago Cubs on Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
-$2.43k · 3800 @ 0.640
SELL·25d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on VSG Altglienicke vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
-$1.57 · 1574.14 @ 0.999
BUY·25d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on VSG Altglienicke vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
+$64.90 · 150.94 @ 0.570
BUY·25d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Over on Hallescher FC vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
+$1.60 · 4.58 @ 0.650
BUY·26d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
+$722.40 · 1720 @ 0.580
SELL·26d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Tampa Bay Rays on Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
-$5.15 · 5149.11 @ 0.999
BUY·28d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
+$514.98 · 1197.62 @ 0.570
BUY·28d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Hanwha Eagles on KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles
+$230.50 · 499.99 @ 0.539
BUY·28d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
Hanwha Eagles on KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles
+$18.80 · 40 @ 0.530
BUY·28d agostale·0xa39a…1246why? →
KT Wiz on KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers
60 @ 0.340
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.