Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 21?
— 10.066667 @ 0.300
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EM
emberthespirit
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$1.07k
Trading pattern
Weather Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.78 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.42 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $4 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.72 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 42¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $3.91 · p90 $22.15
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 20:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20?
— 7 @ 0.150
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20?
— 8.076924 @ 0.130
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19?
— 159.29 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 21?
— 38.681723 @ 0.572
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20?
— 2.74359 @ 0.390
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 21?
— 8.075 @ 0.400
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 19?
— 24.45 @ 0.992
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 20?
— 67.744546 @ 0.320
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?
— 4.24 @ 0.250
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 2.175439 @ 0.570
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 5.303572 @ 0.560
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?
— 29.821429 @ 0.280
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 19?
— 42.37 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 20?
— 5.105264 @ 0.380
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 20?
— 2.789474 @ 0.380
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 20?
— 77.5 @ 0.280
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?
— 37.554286 @ 0.274
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?
— 2.609757 @ 0.410
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 20?
— 5.526316 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?
— 5.68 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?
— 9.433077 @ 0.250
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?
— 102.809524 @ 0.210
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20?
— 31.05 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21?
— 36.647873 @ 0.465
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 21?
— 25.787879 @ 0.330
No on Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 20?
— 17.354839 @ 0.620
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 21?
— 8.148149 @ 0.270
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 20?
— 17.08 @ 0.250
Yes on Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 20?
— 3.533334 @ 0.300
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21?
— 2.488373 @ 0.430
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?
— 2.864865 @ 0.370
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 20?
— 2.54762 @ 0.420
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?
— 37.4265 @ 0.592
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?
— 37.542373 @ 0.590
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?
— 36.311476 @ 0.610
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?
— 36.311476 @ 0.610
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?
— 7.25 @ 0.304
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 21?
— 8.666667 @ 0.120
Yes on Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?
— 8.155556 @ 0.450
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?
— 4.362069 @ 0.580
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19?
— 33.11 @ 0.990
No on Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 20°C on September 20?
— 10.4 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?
— 2.609757 @ 0.410
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?
— 56.098276 @ 0.288
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19?
— 31.05 @ 0.995
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?
— 13.762445 @ 0.448
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19?
— 35.25 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?
— 26.29 @ 0.382
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?
— 4.607143 @ 0.280
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.