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0x9E53cFE3E881636f9415aF925c3a9620F3ad53AE-1786656823375

0x9e53…53aepolymarket ↗last active 39m ago
All-time PnL
$10.9k
Win rate
48.2%
48 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$195.10
30d PnL
$10.9k
30d trades
100
30d wins
27
27.0%
30d volume
$196.3k
Category edge
Sports
45.7%
+6.1pp
n=70

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
45.7% (32 wins / 38 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 6 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 16-day series
$14.8k
-$8.39k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.82 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.40Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $1,566Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.80 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 40¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.57k · p90 $3.72k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 20:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·39m ago·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 AND Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) AND Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
13561.900311 @ 0.126
BUY·4h agoageing·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$2.45k · 4622.95 @ 0.470
BUY·5h agoageing·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Score AND Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score AND Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 AND Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5 AND Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
6321.466761 @ 0.154
BUY·5h agoageing·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?
-$712.44 · 5937 @ 0.120
BUY·18h agoageing·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) AND Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) AND Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
9199.428325 @ 0.104
BUY·19h agoageing·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) AND Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox AND Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
18323.451164 @ 0.116
BUY·20h agoageing·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
No on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
+$3.10k · 6459.68 @ 0.520
BUY·20h agoageing·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
No on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$2.55k · 4635 @ 0.550
BUY·20h agoageing·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
No on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-$3.03k · 5620 @ 0.540
BUY·1d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score AND Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Score AND AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score
8325.5403 @ 0.259
BUY·2d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
No on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$577.50 · 1050 @ 0.550
BUY·2d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5 AND Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers AND Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
13358.052196 @ 0.160
BUY·2d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
No on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays
-$4.85k · 9033 @ 0.537
BUY·3d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 AND Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
9368.740817 @ 0.154
BUY·3d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Over on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Elche CF O/U 0.5
+$982.80 · 1365 @ 0.280
BUY·3d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
No on Will West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
+$2.29k · 5300 @ 0.567
BUY·4d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Yes on Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
+$2.92k · 6209 @ 0.530
BUY·4d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score AND Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
7310.521743 @ 0.205
BUY·4d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
No on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
+$1.85k · 3487.45 @ 0.470
BUY·4d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Broncos on Broncos vs. Chiefs
-$5.11k · 11111 @ 0.460
BUY·4d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
No on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
-$1.87k · 3333 @ 0.560
BUY·4d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Yes on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$696.32 · 1698.35 @ 0.410
BUY·4d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Yes on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$870.75 · 1935 @ 0.450
BUY·4d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Yes on Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
+$2.61k · 4273 @ 0.390
BUY·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score AND Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score AND Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14?
5520.040683 @ 0.262
BUY·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5) AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
3909.132696 @ 0.397
BUY·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 2 AS Roma? AND Exact Score: Como 1907 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913?
4335.318829 @ 0.033
BUY·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 AND Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5
5243.990781 @ 0.286
BUY·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Under on Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 48.5
+$663.00 · 1700 @ 0.610
BUY·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Cowboys on Cowboys vs. Giants
-$395.10 · 2634 @ 0.150
SELL·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Over on Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 47.5
-$3.24k · 9072.59 @ 0.643
SELL·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Over on Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 47.5
-$2.91k · 9471 @ 0.692
BUY·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Over on Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 47.5
+$2.16k · 3357 @ 0.357
BUY·5d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Over on Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 47.5
+$7.62k · 15555 @ 0.510
BUY·6d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Spread: Eagles (-6.5) AND Spread: Bills (-1.5) AND Broncos vs. Chiefs
11868.320245 @ 0.121
BUY·6d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Under on Ohio State vs. Texas: O/U 50.5
+$750.00 · 1500 @ 0.500
BUY·6d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Ohio State on Spread: Texas (-1.5)
+$2.61k · 5125 @ 0.490
BUY·6d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Under on Ohio State vs. Texas: O/U 50.5
+$2.45k · 4797.96 @ 0.490
BUY·7d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Under on Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
+$2.87k · 5866 @ 0.510
BUY·7d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Yes on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score
-$17.64 · 117.6 @ 0.150
BUY·7d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Yes on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score
-$290.00 · 1000 @ 0.290
BUY·7d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) AND Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Middlesbrough FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-12?
7729.460458 @ 0.152
BUY·8d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Yes on Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
+$311.60 · 580 @ 0.463
BUY·8d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 AND West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5 AND Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-11?
4590.501992 @ 0.138
BUY·8d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs AND Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-11?
5208.792446 @ 0.198
BUY·8d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Over on 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 40.5
-$2.15k · 4133 @ 0.520
BUY·8d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
Over on 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 50.5
-$2.20k · 5239 @ 0.420
BUY·9d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) AND SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) AND Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score
7687.793382 @ 0.154
BUY·9d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) AND Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
7850.519815 @ 0.273
BUY·10d agostale·0x9e53…53aewhy? →
on Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score AND Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score
5095.541641 @ 0.424
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.