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0x9Dc27980246478C9c3232b74b6C535C4bC738416-1762104760724

0x9dc2…8416polymarket ↗last active 20m ago
All-time PnL
$1.83k
Win rate
49.4%
49 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$23.78
30d PnL
$28.69
30d trades
21
30d wins
7
33.3%
30d volume
$5.84k
Signal hit rate
46.2% (42 wins / 49 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 7 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 31-day series
$2.30k
-$1.96k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.86 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $250Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.90 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $249.87 · p90 $407.75
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 22:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·20m ago·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Packers on Packers vs. Jets
241.935484 @ 0.620
BUY·21m ago·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Eagles on Eagles vs. Titans
460.526316 @ 0.760
BUY·22m ago·0x9dc2…8416why? →
SF on Spread: SF (-12.5)
539.215687 @ 0.510
BUY·22m ago·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Patriots on Spread: Patriots (-5.5)
750 @ 0.500
BUY·23m ago·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Panthers on Panthers vs. Falcons
560.344828 @ 0.580
BUY·23m ago·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Over on NO vs. BAL: O/U 46.5
625 @ 0.480
BUY·24m ago·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Buccaneers on Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
586.27451 @ 0.510
BUY·24m ago·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Bears on Spread: Bears (-4.5)
686.27451 @ 0.510
BUY·25m ago·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Texans on Bengals vs. Texans
508.474575 @ 0.590
SELL·4d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Chiefs on Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
-$0.41 · 411.66 @ 0.999
BUY·4d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Chiefs on Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
+$201.72 · 411.666667 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Cowboys on Cowboys vs. Giants
-$184.00 · 301.639343 @ 0.610
BUY·6d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Eagles on Commanders vs. Eagles
+$96.43 · 321.42857 @ 0.700
BUY·6d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Lions on Saints vs. Lions
+$45.06 · 265.060241 @ 0.830
BUY·6d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Bears on Bears vs. Panthers
+$105.61 · 245.614034 @ 0.570
BUY·6d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Cowboys on Cowboys vs. Giants
-$150.00 · 245.901638 @ 0.610
BUY·6d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Ravens on Ravens vs. Colts
+$64.29 · 214.285713 @ 0.700
BUY·17d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
T1 on LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
-$290.00 · 828.571427 @ 0.350
BUY·24d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Patriots on Patriots vs. Browns
-$393.00 · 677.586204 @ 0.580
BUY·24d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Bills on Steelers vs. Bills
+$233.36 · 598.360653 @ 0.610
BUY·26d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
SEA on Spread: TEN (-4.5)
+$299.63 · 673.632104 @ 0.555
BUY·74d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Colombia on Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
-$502.00 · 822.950817 @ 0.610
BUY·75d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Belgium on United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
+$559.32 · 1055.319147 @ 0.470
BUY·75d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Spain on Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
+$210.84 · 554.838707 @ 0.620
BUY·79d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Portugal on Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
+$155.85 · 546.853143 @ 0.715
BUY·80d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Belgium on Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
+$202.45 · 595.454544 @ 0.660
BUY·81d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Yes on Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
-$400.00 · 975.609755 @ 0.410
BUY·82d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Yes on Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
+$221.57 · 503.571427 @ 0.560
BUY·84d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Washington Nationals on Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles
+$298.71 · 585.714284 @ 0.490
BUY·128d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Pistons on Cavaliers vs. Pistons
-$311.00 · 501.612902 @ 0.620
SELL·223d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Seahawks on Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)
-$1.64k · 3100 @ 0.470
BUY·223d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Seahawks on Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)
+$866.67 · 1666.666665 @ 0.480
BUY·223d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Seahawks on Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)
+$2.38k · 4583.333332 @ 0.480
BUY·236d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Seahawks on Rams vs. Seahawks
+$196.43 · 446.42857 @ 0.560
BUY·236d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Seahawks on Rams vs. Seahawks
+$523.29 · 1189.285713 @ 0.560
BUY·237d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Broncos on Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
+$310.38 · 660.377357 @ 0.530
BUY·237d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Broncos on Patriots vs. Broncos
-$500.00 · 1428.571427 @ 0.350
BUY·246d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Bills on Bills vs. Broncos
-$400.00 · 833.333332 @ 0.480
BUY·246d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Rams on Rams vs. Bears
+$215.38 · 615.384614 @ 0.650
BUY·246d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Patriots on Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
+$433.33 · 833.333332 @ 0.480
BUY·246d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Seahawks on Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
+$451.06 · 851.063828 @ 0.470
BUY·250d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Chargers on Chargers vs. Patriots
-$357.00 · 991.666665 @ 0.360
SELL·250d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Patriots on Chargers vs. Patriots
-$193.85 · 538.46 @ 0.640
BUY·251d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Bills on Bills vs. Jaguars
+$442.35 · 867.346937 @ 0.490
BUY·251d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Patriots on Chargers vs. Patriots
+$188.46 · 538.461537 @ 0.650
BUY·251d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Eagles on Spread: Eagles (-4.5)
-$300.00 · 545.454544 @ 0.550
BUY·251d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Bears on Packers vs. Bears
+$469.57 · 869.565216 @ 0.460
BUY·253d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Ole Miss on Miami vs. Ole Miss
-$180.00 · 473.684209 @ 0.380
BUY·255d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Yes on New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
-$53.00 · 3543.465332 @ 0.015
BUY·255d agostale·0x9dc2…8416why? →
Yes on New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
-$50.00 · 3392.514 @ 0.015
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.