Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 11 @ 0.330
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PO
Polkadot-Frog
All-time PnL
-$2.75
Win rate
50.0%
50 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$1.37
30d PnL
-$2.75
30d trades
100
30d wins
1
1.0%
30d volume
$1.23k
Category edge
Crypto
28.6%
-38.0pp
n=14
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
28.6% (4 wins / 10 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.94 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $6 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.47 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $5.60 · p90 $30.80
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 03:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 10 @ 0.330
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 9.14 @ 0.260
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.280
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 18 @ 0.280
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 10 @ 0.280
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.280
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.490
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.490
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.490
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.490
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 1.74 @ 0.490
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.460
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.460
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 18 @ 0.470
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.470
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.460
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 11 @ 0.470
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.470
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.470
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 8 @ 0.540
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.470
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 1.2 @ 0.470
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 140 @ 0.482
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.470
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 9.31 @ 0.460
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.460
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.440
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 10 @ 0.570
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 10 @ 0.560
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11PM ET
— 5 @ 0.390
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11PM ET
— 5 @ 0.390
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11PM ET
— 5 @ 0.390
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11PM ET
— 5 @ 0.390
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 40 @ 0.500
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.500
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.500
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.370
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.370
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 120 @ 0.710
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 40 @ 0.720
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 14 @ 0.240
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.320
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 140 @ 0.360
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
— 30 @ 0.830
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
— 19.81 @ 0.830
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.790
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 20 @ 0.790
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 9 @ 0.790
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— 7 @ 0.730
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.