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Frog0nCroc

0x9b04…f8e5polymarket ↗last active 17m ago
All-time PnL
-$612.13
Win rate
58.3%
58 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$10.53
30d PnL
-$631.75
30d trades
100
30d wins
35
35.0%
30d volume
$3.91k
Category edge
Crypto
71.0%
-3.4pp
n=31
Sports
43.9%
-2.6pp
n=66

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
52.6% (51 wins / 46 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 12-day series
$39.54
-$643.98
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 69%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 69% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.24 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.64Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $10Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.75 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 64¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $10.00 · p90 $147.20
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 14:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·17m ago·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
249.86 @ 0.999
BUY·22m ago·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
249.862116 @ 0.921
SELL·33m ago·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
300 @ 0.783
SELL·2h agoageing·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$8.70 · 29 @ 0.700
BUY·3h agoageing·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$11.02 · 29 @ 0.620
SELL·7h agoageing·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
-$0.20 · 200 @ 0.999
SELL·23h agoageing·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
NRG on Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
+$0.70 · 10 @ 0.070
BUY·1d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
NRG on Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
-$2.50 · 10 @ 0.250
SELL·1d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
SELL·1d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
magic on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
+$0.25 · 5 @ 0.050
SELL·1d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$6.00 · 40 @ 0.150
SELL·1d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$1.60 · 10 @ 0.160
SELL·1d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$3.60 · 60 @ 0.940
BUY·1d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$22.80 · 60 @ 0.620
BUY·1d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$6.00 · 30 @ 0.200
SELL·1d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$0.10 · 99.99 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
-$0.03 · 29 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 2 Winner
-$0.17 · 171.26 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 1 Winner
-$0.10 · 99.98 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$381.79 · 459.99 @ 0.830
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
-$5.00 · 11.627907 @ 0.430
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
-$10.00 · 11.627907 @ 0.860
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
+$0.37 · 1.369862 @ 0.730
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
+$0.42 · 10.41665 @ 0.960
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
+$1.49 · 11.494253 @ 0.870
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.31579 @ 0.760
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
+$2.05 · 12.048188 @ 0.830
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
+$0.37 · 1.369864 @ 0.730
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
+$0.28 · 1.28205 @ 0.780
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
+$0.61 · 1.612902 @ 0.620
BUY·2d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
-$5.00 · 6.493504 @ 0.770
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
+$1.33 · 5.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
-$40.00 · 49.382715 @ 0.810
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
+$13.83 · 43.829274 @ 0.684
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$8.17 · 28.169013 @ 0.710
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
+$1.98 · 21.978022 @ 0.910
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
+$2.65 · 17.647053 @ 0.850
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
+$0.46 · 15.4639 @ 0.970
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
+$0.87 · 10.869562 @ 0.920
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
+$1.90 · 11.904762 @ 0.840
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
+$1.91 · 15.909091 @ 0.880
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
+$0.75 · 10.752685 @ 0.930
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
+$3.51 · 13.513511 @ 0.740
SELL·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
-$0.11 · 10.66 @ 0.990
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
+$2.67 · 10.666664 @ 0.750
SELL·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
-$0.01 · 7.57 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
+$2.58 · 7.575758 @ 0.660
SELL·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
PuckChamp on Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
+$5.60 · 13.33 @ 0.420
BUY·3d agostale·0x9b04…f8e5why? →
PuckChamp on Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
-$6.00 · 13.333334 @ 0.450
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.