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Blackprince699

0x9af5…451fpolymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
-$3.67k
Win rate
77.0%
77 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$66.80
30d PnL
-$402.92
30d trades
6
30d wins
1
16.7%
30d volume
$14.8k
Category edge
Crypto
51.8%
-28.7pp
n=85
Sports
41.7%
-13.6pp
n=12

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
50.5% (49 wins / 48 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 33 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 13-day series
$2.88k
-$4.84k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 85%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 85% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.30 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.86Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $1,661Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.60 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 86¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.66k · p90 $2.96k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·22m ago·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Yes on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
3652.521053 @ 0.849
SELL·2h agoageing·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Yes on Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-20?
3127.04 @ 0.999
BUY·2h agoageing·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Yes on Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-20?
3127.045976 @ 0.870
SELL·2h agoageing·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Under on ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
-$2.74 · 2739.55 @ 0.999
BUY·2h agoageing·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Under on ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
+$767.08 · 2739.555553 @ 0.720
BUY·27d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Under on Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
-$1.17k · 1668.525713 @ 0.700
BUY·34d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Yes on Will CD Leganés win on 2026-08-16?
-$857.84 · 1081.822957 @ 0.793
SELL·34d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Under on Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5
-$0.88 · 875.36 @ 0.999
BUY·34d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Under on Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5
+$302.55 · 875.369391 @ 0.654
SELL·62d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Yes on Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
-$1.39 · 557.86 @ 0.998
BUY·62d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Yes on Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
+$87.86 · 557.863498 @ 0.842
SELL·62d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Yes on Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
-$65.39 · 544.94 @ 0.880
BUY·62d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Yes on Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
+$59.94 · 544.943818 @ 0.890
SELL·62d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Under on Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$0.49 · 487.53 @ 0.999
BUY·62d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Under on Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$297.40 · 487.53846 @ 0.390
BUY·230d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
-$50.52 · 120.274779 @ 0.420
BUY·230d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
-$96.96 · 220.373726 @ 0.440
BUY·230d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
+$7.60 · 151.97576 @ 0.950
BUY·230d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
+$5.78 · 144.48715 @ 0.960
BUY·230d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
+$93.26 · 137.14335 @ 0.320
BUY·234d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
-$84.92 · 217.736122 @ 0.390
SELL·234d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
-$0.09 · 87.48 @ 0.999
BUY·234d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
+$45.04 · 86.10355 @ 0.477
BUY·234d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
+$5.07 · 42.2632 @ 0.880
BUY·235d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
-$686.76 · 902.34319 @ 0.761
BUY·255d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
-$2.17k · 2285.0048 @ 0.948
BUY·269d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
-$416.97 · 952.375554 @ 0.438
BUY·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
-$1.71k · 1882.58 @ 0.908
SELL·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
-$21.47 · 2147.03 @ 0.990
BUY·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
+$138.36 · 2147.03875 @ 0.936
SELL·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
-$20.29 · 2028.97 @ 0.990
BUY·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
+$365.68 · 2028.978346 @ 0.820
SELL·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
-$16.80 · 1680.1 @ 0.990
BUY·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
+$21.13 · 1680.1045 @ 0.987
SELL·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
-$16.76 · 1675.73 @ 0.990
BUY·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
+$502.32 · 1675.739341 @ 0.700
BUY·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
+$48.73 · 1173.42135 @ 0.958
BUY·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
+$97.83 · 1124.69565 @ 0.913
SELL·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
-$10.37 · 1037.24 @ 0.990
BUY·270d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
+$32.75 · 1037.245866 @ 0.968
BUY·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
-$335.29 · 401.459043 @ 0.835
SELL·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
-$3.39 · 338.68 @ 0.990
BUY·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
+$40.64 · 338.681816 @ 0.880
BUY·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
+$20.86 · 298.032257 @ 0.930
BUY·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
-$1.22k · 2520.49 @ 0.484
BUY·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
-$1.62k · 1946.435763 @ 0.833
SELL·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
-$16.39 · 1638.72 @ 0.990
BUY·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
+$231.72 · 1638.720453 @ 0.859
SELL·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
-$29.36 · 2936.36 @ 0.990
BUY·271d agostale·0x9af5…451fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
+$511.96 · 2936.367671 @ 0.826
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.