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CO

concayghe

0x9a02…4f7bpolymarket ↗last active 6m ago
All-time PnL
$44.90
Win rate
81.8%
15 of 18
Total trades
18
Avg PnL / trade
$4.08
30d PnL
$44.90
30d trades
18
30d wins
9
50.0%
30d volume
$2.09k
Category edge
Crypto
64.7%
-10.2pp
n=17

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
64.7% (11 wins / 6 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 4 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialistmedium confidence · 18 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.56 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.77Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $135Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.60 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Based on 18 trades — a moderate sample.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 77¢ · 18 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $135.00 · p90 $198.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 09:00 · 18 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·6m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
10 @ 0.300
BUY·12m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
-$5.00 · 16.666665 @ 0.300
BUY·14m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
+$3.62 · 120.618533 @ 0.970
BUY·24m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
+$6.70 · 80.70085 @ 0.917
BUY·25m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
+$12.31 · 37.313431 @ 0.670
BUY·31m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
+$36.13 · 244.651161 @ 0.852
SELL·32m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
-$7.38 · 40.98 @ 0.820
BUY·33m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
+$15.98 · 40.983605 @ 0.610
SELL·34m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
-$2.00 · 200 @ 0.990
BUY·37m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
+$10.00 · 200 @ 0.950
BUY·44m ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
+$5.54 · 195.5419 @ 0.972
BUY·1h ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
+$9.47 · 189.47368 @ 0.950
SELL·1h ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
+$165.14 · 244.56 @ 0.675
BUY·1h ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$150.00 · 244.563707 @ 0.613
SELL·1h ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
-$1.65 · 164.69 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$29.70 · 164.6989 @ 0.820
BUY·1h ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
+$13.33 · 148.32575 @ 0.910
BUY·1h ago·0x9a02…4f7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
-$97.00 · 162.679507 @ 0.596
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.