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GR

Grig515

0x98d5…2ec4polymarket ↗last active 31m ago
All-time PnL
$34.5k
Win rate
70.0%
70 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$690.48
30d PnL
$34.5k
30d trades
100
30d wins
35
35.0%
30d volume
$400.9k
Category edge
Sports
42.0%
-5.5pp
n=81

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.0% (34 wins / 47 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 28 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 17-day series
$36.2k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.38 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.67Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $3,636Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.65 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 67¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $3.64k · p90 $7.19k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 14:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·31m ago·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
13420.98 @ 0.780
BUY·3h agoageing·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Karmine Corp on LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
-$1.38k · 2550.46 @ 0.540
BUY·5h agoageing·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Karmine Corp on Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
-$4.85k · 9216.58 @ 0.526
BUY·5h agoageing·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Karmine Corp on Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
-$114.60 · 224.7 @ 0.510
BUY·5h agoageing·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
on LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs AND LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
10013.55201 @ 0.592
SELL·7h agoageing·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
-$6.65 · 6653.02 @ 0.999
SELL·8h agoageing·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
-$855.63 · 3720.14 @ 0.770
BUY·11h agoageing·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
+$6.12k · 13306.03 @ 0.540
BUY·12h agoageing·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
on LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs AND Saints vs. Ravens AND LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs AND Bengals vs. Texans AND LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
11621.002775 @ 0.194
SELL·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
-$7.13 · 7132.85 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
-$9.16 · 9160.3 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
+$971.32 · 2871.32 @ 0.662
BUY·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
+$1.49k · 4261.538462 @ 0.650
SELL·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner
-$7.68 · 7679.23 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner
+$2.85k · 7679.23 @ 0.629
BUY·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
-$5.87k · 9037.861537 @ 0.650
BUY·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs AND LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
6171.399534 @ 0.471
BUY·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
+$3.21k · 9160.3 @ 0.650
SELL·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
-$10.22 · 10219.72 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
+$4.39k · 10219.72 @ 0.570
BUY·2d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
+$3.44k · 11107.65 @ 0.690
BUY·2d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$44.16 · 119.36 @ 0.370
BUY·2d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$71.75 · 205 @ 0.350
BUY·2d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
GamerLegion on Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
-$4.93k · 7346.163767 @ 0.671
BUY·2d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Natus Vincere on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$5.27k · 8347.496405 @ 0.632
SELL·2d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
B8 on Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs B8 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
-$5.38 · 5377.23 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
B8 on Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs B8 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
+$1.99k · 5377.23 @ 0.630
BUY·2d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
magic on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 1 Winner
-$1.50k · 4176.325676 @ 0.359
BUY·2d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
-$5.52k · 8954.35953 @ 0.617
BUY·3d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
-$5.34k · 9537.46 @ 0.560
BUY·5d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Chiefs on Broncos vs. Chiefs
+$2.39k · 5428.33 @ 0.560
BUY·5d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Giants on Cowboys vs. Giants
+$4.22k · 11101.112902 @ 0.620
BUY·6d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
on Browns vs. Jaguars AND Saints vs. Lions AND Cardinals vs. Chargers AND Ravens vs. Colts
13502.838221 @ 0.327
BUY·6d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
-$5.77k · 8606.93 @ 0.670
SELL·6d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner
-$5.87 · 5874.73 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner
+$1.94k · 5874.73 @ 0.670
BUY·6d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
-$6.12k · 10193.67 @ 0.600
SELL·6d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Gen.G on LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
-$10.24 · 10237.74 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Gen.G on LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
+$3.79k · 10237.74 @ 0.630
BUY·6d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
on LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs AND Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
6391.055092 @ 0.473
SELL·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
-$7.20 · 7203.94 @ 0.999
BUY·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
+$2.05k · 7203.944188 @ 0.715
SELL·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
-$5.00 · 5000.69 @ 0.999
BUY·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
+$2.30k · 5000.69 @ 0.540
BUY·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner
-$2.55k · 4903.846154 @ 0.520
SELL·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
-$5.59 · 5593.13 @ 0.999
BUY·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
+$1.99k · 5593.139551 @ 0.644
SELL·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
+$10.1k · 10150 @ 0.999
BUY·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
-$1.95k · 3900 @ 0.500
BUY·7d agostale·0x98d5…2ec4why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner
-$1.50k · 3571.615 @ 0.420
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.