No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.660
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SM
smallreceipt
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$1.70k
Trading pattern
Weather-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Weather 40%
Why Weather-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 40% of categorized trades — a lean toward Weather without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.76 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.78 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $10 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.64 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 78¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $9.90 · p90 $29.97
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 05:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or higher on September 20?
— 30 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or higher on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19?
— 6.06 @ 0.969
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.960
No on Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 40 @ 0.995
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.690
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 20?
— 8 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 20?
— 32 @ 0.998
No on Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.335
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.990
No on Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.580
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 20?
— 5 @ 0.995
No on Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?
— 7 @ 0.800
No on Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 10 @ 0.998
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?
— 235 @ 0.985
No on Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 15 @ 0.995
Yes on Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?
— 1.36 @ 0.240
No on Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.940
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
— 30 @ 0.999
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
— 95 @ 0.911
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
— 10 @ 0.911
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
— 30 @ 0.911
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
— 73 @ 0.947
No on Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
— 135 @ 0.830
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.850
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 20?
— 30 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.975
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.994
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?
— 45 @ 0.500
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?
— 20 @ 0.550
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?
— 10 @ 0.540
Yes on Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?
— 0.99 @ 0.300
Yes on Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
— 0.99 @ 0.380
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 20?
— 5 @ 0.987
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.620
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.720
No on Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
— 85 @ 0.900
No on Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
— 10 @ 0.790
No on Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.997
No on Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD?
— 10 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.720
No on Will Mallory Aurichio win Big Brother season 28?
— 8 @ 0.997
No on Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 30 @ 0.490
No on Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 10 @ 0.490
Yes on Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
— 0.17 @ 0.110
Yes on Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
— 0.17 @ 0.110
Yes on Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
— 0.17 @ 0.110
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.