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jarosbill

0x927c…6633polymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
-$6.51k
Win rate
48.8%
49 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$157.66
30d PnL
-$6.46k
30d trades
100
30d wins
20
20.0%
30d volume
$258.7k
Category edge
Sports
47.4%
-9.8pp
n=78

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
47.4% (37 wins / 41 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 9 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 8-day series
$3.85k
-$22.5k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.48 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $902Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.39 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $902.40 · p90 $7.84k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 17:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·22m ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Eagles on Eagles vs. Titans
30 @ 0.710
SELL·23m ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Eagles on Eagles vs. Titans
70 @ 0.690
SELL·23m ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Eagles on Eagles vs. Titans
200 @ 0.690
BUY·24m ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Eagles on Eagles vs. Titans
28000 @ 0.700
SELL·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Bears on Vikings vs. Bears
150 @ 0.590
BUY·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Bears on Vikings vs. Bears
18900 @ 0.600
BUY·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Bengals on Bengals vs. Texans
17000 @ 0.390
SELL·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Over on Packers vs. Jets: O/U 38.5
888 @ 0.400
SELL·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Over on Packers vs. Jets: O/U 38.5
5 @ 0.410
BUY·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Over on Packers vs. Jets: O/U 38.5
900 @ 0.450
BUY·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Patriots on Steelers vs. Patriots
1400 @ 0.880
BUY·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
80 @ 0.790
BUY·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
1200 @ 0.780
BUY·1h ago·0x927c…6633why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
369.64 @ 0.770
BUY·2h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Titans on Eagles vs. Titans
3230 @ 0.390
BUY·2h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Over on Packers vs. Jets: O/U 46.5
2800 @ 0.397
BUY·2h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Panthers on Panthers vs. Falcons
1775 @ 0.700
BUY·2h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Packers on Spread: Packers (-3.5)
9821.41 @ 0.440
BUY·2h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Panthers on Spread: Panthers (-9.5)
5356 @ 0.356
SELL·2h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Under on Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 42.5
44.28 @ 0.360
SELL·2h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Panthers on Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
100 @ 0.400
BUY·2h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Packers on Spread: Packers (-5.5)
2768 @ 0.410
BUY·21h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Alabama on Florida State vs. Alabama
+$376.18 · 1139.94 @ 0.670
BUY·21h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Under on Florida State vs. Alabama: O/U 60.5
-$702.00 · 1350 @ 0.520
BUY·21h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Florida State on Florida State vs. Alabama
-$4.54k · 12600 @ 0.360
BUY·21h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
New York Mets on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
+$6.32k · 10200 @ 0.380
BUY·22h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
New York Mets on Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
+$298.50 · 904.56 @ 0.670
BUY·22h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
-$90.00 · 300 @ 0.300
BUY·22h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
-$60.00 · 200 @ 0.300
BUY·22h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
-$85.71 · 285.71 @ 0.300
BUY·22h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
New York Mets on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
+$1.23k · 2460 @ 0.500
BUY·22h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
Tampa Bay Rays on Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
-$164.50 · 498.49 @ 0.330
BUY·23h agoageing·0x927c…6633why? →
No on Will Toulouse FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?
+$2.00 · 10 @ 0.800
BUY·1d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Under on North Texas vs. Texas State: O/U 76.5
-$1.67k · 4325 @ 0.385
BUY·1d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$1.95k · 7192.3 @ 0.729
BUY·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Mary Stoiana on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu
+$936.00 · 5850 @ 0.840
BUY·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Mary Stoiana on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu
+$1.02k · 5100 @ 0.800
SELL·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro on Sao Paulo Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Dominika Salkova
+$739.20 · 960 @ 0.770
BUY·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro on Sao Paulo Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Dominika Salkova
-$7.92k · 10560 @ 0.750
SELL·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Andre Ilagan on Tiburon: Bryce Nakashima vs Andre Ilagan
+$67.00 · 100 @ 0.670
SELL·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Andre Ilagan on Tiburon: Bryce Nakashima vs Andre Ilagan
+$593.45 · 913 @ 0.650
SELL·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Andre Ilagan on Tiburon: Bryce Nakashima vs Andre Ilagan
+$6.90 · 10 @ 0.690
BUY·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Andre Ilagan on Tiburon: Bryce Nakashima vs Andre Ilagan
-$4.34k · 6205 @ 0.700
BUY·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Sara Bejlek on Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek
+$216.00 · 1200 @ 0.820
BUY·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Sara Bejlek on Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek
+$1.61k · 9450 @ 0.830
BUY·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Real Madrid CF on Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
-$21.50 · 215 @ 0.100
BUY·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Real Madrid CF on Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
-$338.59 · 2821.59 @ 0.120
BUY·4d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
Under on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
-$879.70 · 3383.46 @ 0.260
SELL·5d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
No on Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?
-$17.40 · 60 @ 0.710
BUY·6d agostale·0x927c…6633why? →
FC Internazionale Milano on Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)
-$5.46 · 14 @ 0.390
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.