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NordhavenCap

0x91fe…c1c6polymarket ↗last active 12m ago
All-time PnL
$10.7k
Win rate
53.3%
53 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$635.89
30d PnL
$9.54k
30d trades
100
30d wins
8
8.0%
30d volume
$44.6k
Category edge
Sports
66.7%
+13.2pp
n=42

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
66.7% (28 wins / 14 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 2 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$9.54k
-$2.44
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.94 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.52Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $2Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.59 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 52¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.74 · p90 $1.11k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·12m ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Mexico on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
5494.17 @ 0.350
SELL·13m ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
England on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
11898.53 @ 0.637
SELL·14m ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
5257 @ 0.870
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will England win on 2026-07-05?
5 @ 0.230
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
293.82 @ 0.270
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Mexico on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
5486.642856 @ 0.140
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
689.21 @ 0.856
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
285.21 @ 0.549
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Yes on Will England win on 2026-07-05?
2371.85 @ 0.684
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
3554.68 @ 0.090
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
England on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
5780.109588 @ 0.730
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5
313.35 @ 0.872
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
5140.11111 @ 0.900
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
369.49 @ 0.606
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
250 @ 0.300
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
11476.699 @ 0.020
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5
200 @ 0.880
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
200 @ 0.100
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
56.72 @ 0.700
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Yes on Will England win on 2026-07-05?
14.05 @ 0.430
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
115 @ 0.750
BUY·1h ago·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
England on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
6115.980768 @ 0.520
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will England win on 2026-07-05?
2.349205 @ 0.630
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Yes on Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
4.5625 @ 0.320
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
13.625 @ 0.080
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5
2.268654 @ 0.670
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
5.684209 @ 0.190
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Mexico on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
2.510203 @ 0.490
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
2.144925 @ 0.690
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5
2.112354 @ 0.890
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
2.564101 @ 0.390
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
2.144925 @ 0.690
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5
2.112354 @ 0.890
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will England win on 2026-07-05?
2.349205 @ 0.630
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5
2.268654 @ 0.670
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Yes on Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
4.5625 @ 0.320
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
2.564101 @ 0.390
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Mexico on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
2.510203 @ 0.490
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
5.684209 @ 0.190
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
13.625 @ 0.080
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Yes on Will England win on 2026-07-05?
2.684209 @ 0.380
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5
2.112354 @ 0.890
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
2.202896 @ 0.690
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
England on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
2.442306 @ 0.520
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
5.684209 @ 0.190
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
No on Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
2.159419 @ 0.690
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
2.564101 @ 0.390
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
13.625 @ 0.080
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5
2.268654 @ 0.670
BUY·2h agoageing·0x91fe…c1c6why? →
Over on Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5
2.268654 @ 0.670
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.