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0x915814872e03E7574Db4CFF3211d8597D5ddad24-1780080156666

0x9158…ad24polymarket ↗last active 54m ago
All-time PnL
-$4.63k
Win rate
68.4%
68 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$48.72
30d PnL
-$4.63k
30d trades
100
30d wins
65
65.0%
30d volume
$39.6k
Category edge
Sports
68.4%
+17.3pp
n=95

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
68.4% (65 wins / 30 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 7 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 13-day series
$0.00
-$5.04k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.56 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.73Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $200Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.38 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 73¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $200.00 · p90 $1000.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 22:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·54m ago·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
100 @ 0.570
BUY·1h ago·0x9158…ad24why? →
No on Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
200 @ 0.890
BUY·2h agoageing·0x9158…ad24why? →
No on Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
300 @ 0.900
BUY·2h agoageing·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
100 @ 0.700
BUY·6h agoageing·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5
+$10.50 · 150 @ 0.930
BUY·10h agoageing·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
440 @ 0.680
SELL·22h agoageing·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
+$84.00 · 100 @ 0.840
BUY·22h agoageing·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5
+$18.00 · 200 @ 0.910
BUY·22h agoageing·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
+$29.70 · 90 @ 0.670
BUY·22h agoageing·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
-$252.00 · 300 @ 0.840
BUY·22h agoageing·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
+$198.00 · 600 @ 0.670
BUY·1d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Over on Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5
+$30.03 · 79.032257 @ 0.620
BUY·1d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5
+$18.54 · 168.539324 @ 0.890
BUY·1d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5
+$21.95 · 121.951218 @ 0.820
SELL·1d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
-$2.00 · 200 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
+$36.00 · 600 @ 0.940
BUY·1d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
+$42.50 · 170 @ 0.750
BUY·1d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
+$5.50 · 50 @ 0.890
BUY·1d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
+$17.60 · 160 @ 0.890
BUY·1d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Over on Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$137.60 · 430 @ 0.680
BUY·2d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
United States on Spread: United States (-1.5)
+$18.00 · 120 @ 0.850
BUY·2d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
No on Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
-$60.00 · 115.384614 @ 0.520
BUY·3d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Over on Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$57.53 · 179.779409 @ 0.680
BUY·4d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
No on Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
+$5.73 · 33.734938 @ 0.830
BUY·4d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
-$2.37k · 2600 @ 0.910
BUY·4d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
No on Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
+$240.00 · 2400 @ 0.900
BUY·4d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
+$3.76 · 53.763439 @ 0.930
BUY·4d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
+$17.65 · 117.647057 @ 0.850
BUY·4d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
+$175.68 · 675.675673 @ 0.740
BUY·4d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
+$351.35 · 1351.35135 @ 0.740
SELL·4d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
-$30.00 · 1500 @ 0.980
BUY·4d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
+$300.00 · 1500 @ 0.800
BUY·5d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Senegal on Spread: France (-1.5)
-$648.00 · 800 @ 0.810
BUY·5d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Senegal on Spread: France (-1.5)
-$656.00 · 800 @ 0.820
BUY·5d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
No on Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
+$190.00 · 999.99 @ 0.810
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Over on Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5
-$300.00 · 340.909083 @ 0.880
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Spain on Spread: Spain (-1.5)
-$100.00 · 123.456789 @ 0.810
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
-$2.00k · 2173.913037 @ 0.920
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Tunisia on Spread: Sweden (-2.5)
-$200.00 · 222.22222 @ 0.900
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Tunisia on Spread: Sweden (-1.5)
-$100.00 · 135.135134 @ 0.740
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5
+$32.56 · 232.558135 @ 0.860
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5
+$20.00 · 200 @ 0.900
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5
+$32.56 · 232.558135 @ 0.860
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5
+$50.00 · 250 @ 0.800
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Ecuador on Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)
+$0.56 · 5.61 @ 0.900
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Ecuador on Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)
+$44.44 · 444.44444 @ 0.900
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Côte dIvoire on Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)
-$200.00 · 240.963852 @ 0.830
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Under on Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5
+$81.40 · 581.395342 @ 0.860
BUY·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Japan on Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)
+$6.23 · 206.2268 @ 0.970
SELL·6d agostale·0x9158…ad24why? →
Yes on Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
+$11.55 · 350 @ 0.033
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.