Yes on Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 200 @ 0.330
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XE
Xendo1
All-time PnL
$329.90
Win rate
39.5%
40 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$7.67
30d PnL
-$7.00
30d trades
9
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$3.03k
Category edge
Sports
16.7%
-41.4pp
n=12
World
42.4%
-11.8pp
n=59
Politics
41.7%
+5.3pp
n=12
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
38.6% (32 wins / 51 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 40-day series
$170.50
-$1.37k
Trading pattern
World Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · World 68%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 68% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: +0.26 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.42 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $66 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.71 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 42¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $66.00 · p90 $344.73
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 13:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
— 640 @ 0.995
Yes on Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
— -$4.00 · 6.89655 @ 0.580
Yes on Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?
— -$3.00 · 27.272726 @ 0.110
No on Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
— 1090 @ 0.630
No on Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
— 89.99 @ 0.550
No on Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
— 170 @ 0.859
No on Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
— 2100 @ 0.520
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
— 466.15 @ 0.750
No on Iran Nuke before 2027?
— 369.88 @ 0.932
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
— +$115.00 · 500 @ 0.230
Yes on Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
— -$49.00 · 350 @ 0.140
Yes on Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
— +$28.50 · 150 @ 0.190
No on Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
— +$15.60 · 120 @ 0.870
Yes on Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
— -$66.00 · 300 @ 0.220
Yes on Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
— -$27.00 · 3000 @ 0.009
No on US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
— -$4.16 · 13 @ 0.320
Yes on Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
— -$0.11 · 28.58 @ 0.004
Yes on Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
— -$3.90 · 300 @ 0.987
Yes on Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
— 28.44 @ 0.090
Yes on Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
— 28.44 @ 0.090
Yes on Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
— 56.87 @ 0.090
Yes on Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
— 113.75 @ 0.090
Yes on Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
— 227.49 @ 0.090
Yes on Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
— 454.99 @ 0.090
Yes on Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
— 78.11 @ 0.090
Timberwolves on Spurs vs. Timberwolves
— -$10.00 · 31.25 @ 0.320
Yes on Iran coup attempt by June 30?
— -$140.00 · 1999.99 @ 0.070
Yes on Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
— +$58.00 · 100 @ 0.420
Timberwolves on Timberwolves vs. Spurs
— +$264.00 · 300 @ 0.120
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
— +$1.80 · 20 @ 0.910
Yes on Iran leadership change by May 31?
— -$60.00 · 400 @ 0.150
Yes on Iran leadership change by April 30?
— -$0.24 · 8.23 @ 0.029
Yes on Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
— -$20.00 · 10000 @ 0.002
Trail Blazers on Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
— -$32.65 · 96.04 @ 0.340
Yes on Iran leadership change by June 30?
— -$76.00 · 400 @ 0.190
Trail Blazers on Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
— -$5.78 · 16.06834 @ 0.360
No on US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
— -$20.00 · 200 @ 0.900
No on US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
— +$51.20 · 200 @ 0.744
No on Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
— -$20.80 · 260 @ 0.920
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
— +$126.44 · 421.47 @ 0.300
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
— -$100.00 · 217.391303 @ 0.460
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
— +$34.47 · 234.472785 @ 0.853
No on Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
— +$80.24 · 253.13 @ 0.317
No on Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
— -$1.50k · 3000 @ 0.500
No on Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
— +$57.00 · 100 @ 0.430
No on Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
— +$91.20 · 160 @ 0.430
Yes on Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
— +$25.21 · 4998.88 @ 0.005
Yes on Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
— -$20.00 · 10000 @ 0.002
No on Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
— +$217.73 · 1217.727705 @ 0.821
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.