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AL

Alex77751

0x905a…dff1polymarket ↗last active 31m ago
All-time PnL
-$104.27
Win rate
92.1%
92 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.00
30d PnL
-$125.77
30d trades
100
30d wins
58
58.0%
30d volume
$30.6k
Category edge
Sports
61.5%
+14.2pp
n=96

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
61.5% (59 wins / 37 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 32 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 7-day series
$383.24
-$127.32
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.32 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.95Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $300Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.27 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 95¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $300.00 · p90 $408.82
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·31m ago·0x905a…dff1why? →
Calcio Padova on Spread: Palermo FC (-1.5)
376.619562 @ 0.916
SELL·36m ago·0x905a…dff1why? →
West Ham United FC on Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)
293.79 @ 0.999
BUY·2h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Charlton Athletic FC on Spread: Cardiff City FC (-3.5)
380.171123 @ 0.934
SELL·2h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-09-19?
-$0.36 · 358.07 @ 0.999
BUY·2h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
West Ham United FC on Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)
293.793729 @ 0.926
BUY·2h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-09-19?
+$2.75 · 55 @ 0.950
BUY·2h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-09-19?
+$60.87 · 358.072288 @ 0.830
BUY·3h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Avispa Fukuoka on Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-3.5)
+$27.68 · 325.683058 @ 0.915
BUY·3h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Under on Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 5.5
-$329.00 · 350.040416 @ 0.940
BUY·13h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Ceará SC win on 2026-09-18?
-$265.00 · 285.053757 @ 0.930
BUY·14h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Under on New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 6.5
+$9.28 · 309.278333 @ 0.970
BUY·15h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will América FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$18.81 · 318.809762 @ 0.941
SELL·15h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-09-18?
-$81.60 · 319.14 @ 0.744
BUY·16h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-09-18?
+$19.15 · 319.148933 @ 0.940
SELL·17h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Under on Albacete Balompié vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5
-$0.46 · 458.33 @ 0.999
BUY·17h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18?
+$33.12 · 473.118271 @ 0.930
SELL·17h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Under on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 8.5
-$0.44 · 444.44 @ 0.999
BUY·18h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Under on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 8.5
+$4.44 · 444.4444 @ 0.990
BUY·18h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Under on Albacete Balompié vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5
+$18.33 · 458.333325 @ 0.960
SELL·18h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Jong FC Utrecht win on 2026-09-18?
-$0.44 · 442.1 @ 0.999
BUY·19h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Jong FC Utrecht win on 2026-09-18?
+$22.11 · 442.10526 @ 0.950
SELL·19h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
1. FC Magdeburg on Spread: SpVgg Greuther Fürth (-1.5)
-$0.43 · 425.53 @ 0.999
BUY·21h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
1. FC Magdeburg on Spread: SpVgg Greuther Fürth (-1.5)
+$25.53 · 425.5319 @ 0.940
SELL·21h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Gabala FK win on 2026-09-18?
-$0.41 · 412.86 @ 0.999
BUY·21h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Under on Harju JK Laagri vs. FC Kuressaare: O/U 5.5
+$16.65 · 416.6469 @ 0.960
SELL·21h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Hapoel Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$0.41 · 409.23 @ 0.999
BUY·23h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Gabala FK win on 2026-09-18?
+$14.86 · 412.863055 @ 0.964
SELL·23h agoageing·0x905a…dff1why? →
Zhejiang Zhiye FC on Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)
-$0.40 · 400 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Hapoel Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$10.23 · 409.23076 @ 0.975
SELL·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$0.40 · 400 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$10.00 · 400 @ 0.975
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
Independiente del Valle on Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
+$44.49 · 404.494381 @ 0.890
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-09-17?
+$11.13 · 371.134 @ 0.970
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
Under on Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5
+$21.05 · 421.05262 @ 0.950
SELL·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17?
-$0.42 · 421.05 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17?
+$21.05 · 421.052632 @ 0.950
SELL·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-09-17?
-$3.12 · 389.47 @ 0.992
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-09-17?
+$19.47 · 389.473685 @ 0.950
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade on Spread: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo (-1.5)
+$12.77 · 382.768733 @ 0.967
SELL·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-09-17?
-$0.33 · 329.78 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
OFI on Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
-$0.37 · 373.49 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-09-17?
+$19.79 · 329.787233 @ 0.940
SELL·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will FK Atyrau win on 2026-09-17?
-$0.31 · 305.81 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
OFI on Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
+$63.49 · 373.493976 @ 0.830
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will FK Atyrau win on 2026-09-17?
+$5.81 · 305.810368 @ 0.981
BUY·1d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will FK Orenburg win on 2026-09-17?
+$4.24 · 80.3 @ 0.947
BUY·2d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Atletico Tucuman win on 2026-09-16?
+$14.70 · 326.701555 @ 0.955
SELL·2d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will Estudiantes de Merida win on 2026-09-16?
-$0.32 · 317.14 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
SE Palmeiras on Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)
+$40.71 · 339.215908 @ 0.880
SELL·2d agostale·0x905a…dff1why? →
No on Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-16?
-$0.30 · 298.44 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.