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CR

crypotoking

0x8f24…3a09polymarket ↗last active 28m ago
All-time PnL
-$6.26
Win rate
43.1%
43 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.09
30d PnL
$628.05
30d trades
72
30d wins
27
37.5%
30d volume
$4.22k
Category edge
Sports
39.4%
-12.8pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
39.4% (39 wins / 60 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 28-day series
$105.03
-$671.51
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.74 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.48Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $34Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.11 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 48¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $34.13 · p90 $112.25
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·28m ago·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Over on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
613.888889 @ 0.360
BUY·15h agoageing·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Over on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
-$98.56 · 410.666667 @ 0.240
BUY·2d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$31.00 · 57.413044 @ 0.460
BUY·2d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
+$50.47 · 74.21875 @ 0.320
BUY·2d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer
-$5.45 · 12.976191 @ 0.420
BUY·2d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$32.99 · 61.086957 @ 0.460
BUY·7d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
-$11.02 · 44.08 @ 0.250
BUY·7d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12?
-$74.74 · 533.857143 @ 0.140
BUY·7d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
+$434.84 · 536.842106 @ 0.190
BUY·9d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-09-09?
-$38.67 · 89.930233 @ 0.430
BUY·9d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?
+$68.20 · 88.565218 @ 0.230
BUY·9d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
+$26.94 · 59.872728 @ 0.550
BUY·9d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-09?
-$9.51 · 55.941177 @ 0.170
BUY·9d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer
+$30.04 · 91.044775 @ 0.670
BUY·9d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer
+$26.43 · 80.104478 @ 0.670
BUY·9d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Zandschulp on Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Zandschulp (+2.5)
-$32.10 · 62.692308 @ 0.512
SELL·9d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
-$0.14 · 141.46 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies
-$13.75 · 24.553572 @ 0.560
BUY·10d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer
-$9.90 · 23.023256 @ 0.430
BUY·10d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?
-$112.25 · 623.611112 @ 0.180
BUY·10d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Miami Marlins on Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)
-$28.33 · 76.567568 @ 0.370
BUY·11d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer
-$19.50 · 44.318182 @ 0.440
BUY·12d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Chicago Cubs on Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
-$9.30 · 19.787233 @ 0.470
BUY·12d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Spirit on Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
+$9.74 · 24.983605 @ 0.610
BUY·12d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Atlanta Braves on Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
+$10.80 · 21.6 @ 0.500
BUY·12d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
AC Milan on Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
+$22.18 · 106.176375 @ 0.791
BUY·12d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
AC Milan on Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
+$13.29 · 63.291138 @ 0.790
BUY·12d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
AC Milan on Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
+$13.29 · 63.291138 @ 0.790
BUY·12d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-06?
-$167.40 · 643.846152 @ 0.260
BUY·13d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Yoane Wissa: Anytime Goalscorer
+$60.58 · 183.582087 @ 0.670
BUY·13d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-05?
-$42.70 · 251.176469 @ 0.170
BUY·13d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
-$13.13 · 54.708332 @ 0.240
BUY·14d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-04?
+$132.00 · 150 @ 0.120
BUY·14d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-05?
-$16.96 · 51.393938 @ 0.330
BUY·14d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
+$37.03 · 51.42857 @ 0.280
BUY·15d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer
+$7.59 · 12.236841 @ 0.380
BUY·15d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score
+$30.25 · 55 @ 0.450
BUY·16d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Los Angeles Angels on Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
-$13.08 · 23.781817 @ 0.550
BUY·18d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31?
-$5.00 · 33.333332 @ 0.150
BUY·18d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer
-$7.25 · 13.813558 @ 0.525
BUY·19d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Navone on Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Navone (+2.5)
+$25.58 · 60.913792 @ 0.580
BUY·19d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
New York Yankees on Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
+$32.25 · 60.851062 @ 0.470
BUY·19d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$2.03 · 8.133332 @ 0.750
BUY·19d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
No on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$33.33 · 133.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·21d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Gen.G Esports on Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
-$38.65 · 87.840908 @ 0.440
BUY·21d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Yes on Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
+$41.01 · 53.958332 @ 0.240
BUY·22d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Athletic Club on Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
-$21.65 · 52.804877 @ 0.410
BUY·22d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Under on FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
+$30.73 · 55.978259 @ 0.451
BUY·27d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Legacy on Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
-$32.00 · 61.53846 @ 0.520
BUY·27d agostale·0x8f24…3a09why? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
-$113.00 · 470.833332 @ 0.240
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.