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felcsis

0x8c8c…cb02polymarket ↗last active 14m ago
All-time PnL
$48.69
Win rate
65.1%
65 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.57
30d PnL
$48.69
30d trades
100
30d wins
56
56.0%
30d volume
$4.27k
Category edge
Crypto
63.0%
+9.1pp
n=100

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
63.0% (63 wins / 37 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 7 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$48.69
-$69.89
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.86 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.61Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $10Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.45 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 61¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $10.00 · p90 $100.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·14m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$175.36 · 333.33 @ 0.474
BUY·15m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$233.33 · 333.333332 @ 0.300
SELL·17m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$189.16 · 312.5 @ 0.605
BUY·18m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on XRP Up or Down - July 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$3.51 · 13.513511 @ 0.740
BUY·18m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$4.08 · 14.084506 @ 0.710
BUY·18m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
-$100.00 · 312.5 @ 0.320
BUY·23m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$6.39 · 16.393441 @ 0.610
BUY·27m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
-$28.85 · 107.53 @ 0.268
SELL·27m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
-$82.10 · 163.93 @ 0.499
BUY·29m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
+$63.93 · 163.934425 @ 0.610
BUY·33m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
+$4.47 · 14.472 @ 0.691
BUY·39m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$2.82 · 12.820509 @ 0.780
BUY·39m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$2.50 · 12.5 @ 0.800
BUY·39m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
+$7.54 · 17.543858 @ 0.570
BUY·40m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
+$3.68 · 13.675673 @ 0.731
BUY·47m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
+$73.53 · 173.527456 @ 0.576
BUY·47m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
+$65.13 · 165.125805 @ 0.606
BUY·48m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on XRP Up or Down - July 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
+$83.18 · 183.178244 @ 0.546
BUY·52m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - July 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
+$3.89 · 13.888885 @ 0.720
BUY·53m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
+$4.08 · 14.084506 @ 0.710
BUY·54m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
+$3.51 · 13.513511 @ 0.740
BUY·55m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - July 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
+$4.29 · 14.285713 @ 0.700
BUY·55m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
+$4.29 · 14.285713 @ 0.700
BUY·56m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
-$200.00 · 635.5475 @ 0.315
BUY·58m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
+$3.51 · 13.513511 @ 0.740
BUY·59m ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
+$5.87 · 15.873013 @ 0.630
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
-$100.00 · 243.902438 @ 0.410
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
+$22.27 · 122.269394 @ 0.818
SELL·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
-$160.08 · 480.27 @ 0.667
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$4.23 · 14.2338 @ 0.703
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
-$10.00 · 25.581394 @ 0.391
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Dogecoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
+$6.39 · 16.393441 @ 0.610
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$121.94 · 271.939106 @ 0.552
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$108.33 · 208.333332 @ 0.480
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
-$10.00 · 13.157891 @ 0.760
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
-$10.00 · 15.873013 @ 0.630
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on XRP Up or Down - July 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
-$10.00 · 17.543858 @ 0.570
SELL·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
+$148.06 · 263.15 @ 0.563
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
-$100.00 · 263.157893 @ 0.380
SELL·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
-$19.43 · 323.88 @ 0.940
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
+$31.58 · 131.578945 @ 0.760
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
+$42.31 · 192.30769 @ 0.780
SELL·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
-$169.16 · 302.45 @ 0.441
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
+$62.01 · 110.727271 @ 0.440
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
+$5.15 · 15.151514 @ 0.660
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
+$7.84 · 17.842104 @ 0.560
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
+$152.46 · 302.457168 @ 0.496
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
+$2.66 · 12.658223 @ 0.790
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
-$100.00 · 185.185184 @ 0.540
BUY·1h ago·0x8c8c…cb02why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
-$100.00 · 342.673869 @ 0.292
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.