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AB

abcdefg888

0x8b40…cf5fpolymarket ↗last active 23m ago
All-time PnL
-$515.65
Win rate
68.3%
68 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$8.59
30d PnL
-$515.65
30d trades
100
30d wins
41
41.0%
30d volume
$13.9k
Category edge
Crypto
50.7%
-17.6pp
n=67
Sports
69.0%
+11.7pp
n=29

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
56.3% (54 wins / 42 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 14 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$114.27
-$699.31
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 67%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 67% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.50 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.70Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $80Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.42 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 70¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $79.50 · p90 $300.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 03:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·23m ago·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 6.5
73.37526 @ 0.954
BUY·24m ago·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 6.5
209.643586 @ 0.954
BUY·37m ago·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 6.5
1052.63156 @ 0.950
BUY·1h ago·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5
232.558135 @ 0.860
BUY·3h agoageing·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5
+$18.90 · 300 @ 0.937
SELL·3h agoageing·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5
-$0.33 · 326.08 @ 0.999
BUY·5h agoageing·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5
+$26.09 · 326.08695 @ 0.920
SELL·5h agoageing·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 6.5
-$1.00 · 999.78 @ 0.999
BUY·17h agoageing·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 6.5
+$31.58 · 631.57894 @ 0.950
BUY·20h agoageing·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 6.5
+$12.00 · 300 @ 0.960
BUY·20h agoageing·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on New England Revolution vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 6.5
+$21.00 · 300 @ 0.930
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Le Mans FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 5.5
+$10.50 · 150 @ 0.930
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 7.5
+$19.50 · 500 @ 0.961
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 6.5
+$12.50 · 250 @ 0.950
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 6.5
+$20.61 · 400 @ 0.948
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 6.5
+$23.97 · 323.974081 @ 0.926
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 6.5
-$100.00 · 111.358568 @ 0.898
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 6.5
-$300.00 · 313.15238 @ 0.958
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 6.5
+$13.90 · 213.903738 @ 0.935
SELL·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 6.5
-$1.00 · 999.99 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 6.5
+$3.48 · 53.475923 @ 0.935
BUY·1d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 6.5
+$20.00 · 500 @ 0.960
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Rodez Aveyron Football vs. AS Nancy-Lorraine: O/U 8.5
+$5.25 · 150 @ 0.965
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Lyngby BK vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 5.5
-$0.15 · 150 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Rodez Aveyron Football vs. AS Nancy-Lorraine: O/U 8.5
+$5.00 · 125 @ 0.960
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 6.5
-$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 6.5
+$16.00 · 400 @ 0.960
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 7.5
-$0.20 · 200 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 6.5
-$0.20 · 200 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 7.5
+$16.00 · 200 @ 0.920
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 6.5
+$4.80 · 80 @ 0.940
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Under on SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 6.5
+$9.00 · 100 @ 0.910
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
-$26.00 · 50 @ 0.520
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
-$46.56 · 160 @ 0.709
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
+$29.80 · 62.08 @ 0.520
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
+$117.50 · 250 @ 0.530
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
+$117.60 · 240 @ 0.510
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
+$83.80 · 250 @ 0.335
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
-$219.32 · 421.77 @ 0.520
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
-$26.22 · 174.79 @ 0.850
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
-$29.71 · 174.79 @ 0.830
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
-$22.14 · 116.52 @ 0.810
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
-$33.80 · 155.36 @ 0.782
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
-$51.79 · 207.15 @ 0.750
SELL·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
-$231.00 · 671.32 @ 0.656
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
+$177.56 · 386.01 @ 0.540
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
+$160.27 · 341 @ 0.530
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
+$148.32 · 309 @ 0.520
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
-$162.00 · 300 @ 0.540
BUY·2d agostale·0x8b40…cf5fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
-$103.90 · 196.04 @ 0.530
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.