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0x89B49405e761b7357398A8A2B91a9FBaA96F4F46-1770905549748

0x89b4…4f46polymarket ↗last active 5m ago
All-time PnL
-$158.65
Win rate
89.1%
89 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.88
30d PnL
-$158.65
30d trades
100
30d wins
49
49.0%
30d volume
$2.73k
Category edge
Crypto
89.8%
+32.4pp
n=98

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
89.8% (88 wins / 10 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$158.65
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.92Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $19Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.98 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 92¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $19.50 · p90 $39.60
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·5m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
15.309266 @ 0.970
BUY·5m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
117.272292 @ 0.863
BUY·10m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
+$17.86 · 119.05882 @ 0.850
BUY·25m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
-$101.01 · 113.494381 @ 0.890
BUY·29m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$2.43 · 30.326075 @ 0.920
BUY·29m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$2.48 · 20.681816 @ 0.880
BUY·30m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$3.37 · 30.674154 @ 0.890
BUY·30m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$1.53 · 15.33333 @ 0.900
BUY·30m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$10.01 · 111.208788 @ 0.910
BUY·34m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$1.23 · 20.425516 @ 0.940
BUY·34m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$2.43 · 30.326085 @ 0.920
BUY·34m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$2.74 · 30.0445 @ 0.909
BUY·34m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$1.00 · 10 @ 0.900
BUY·34m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$13.24 · 114.041009 @ 0.884
BUY·39m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$37.39 · 138.465751 @ 0.730
BUY·55m ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$25.29 · 126.4375 @ 0.800
BUY·1h ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
-$100.80 · 114.4673 @ 0.881
BUY·1h ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
+$8.15 · 108.726557 @ 0.925
BUY·1h ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
-$100.92 · 120.142856 @ 0.840
BUY·1h ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
-$27.60 · 30 @ 0.920
BUY·1h ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
-$29.04 · 33.767435 @ 0.860
BUY·1h ago·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$0.92 · 30.618533 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
+$0.92 · 30.618533 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
+$1.52 · 15.16666 @ 0.900
BUY·4h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$0.76 · 15.15788 @ 0.950
BUY·4h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
+$0.46 · 15.309266 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
+$0.61 · 20.412366 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
+$0.46 · 15.309266 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
+$0.92 · 30.618533 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
+$0.94 · 15.638283 @ 0.940
BUY·5h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
+$0.77 · 15.31578 @ 0.950
BUY·6h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
+$0.92 · 30.618533 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
+$0.92 · 15.319133 @ 0.940
BUY·6h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
+$0.36 · 15.2109 @ 0.976
BUY·7h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
+$0.82 · 20.41665 @ 0.960
BUY·7h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
+$1.43 · 30.529375 @ 0.953
BUY·7h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
+$0.46 · 15.309266 @ 0.970
BUY·8h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
+$5.37 · 33.571425 @ 0.840
BUY·8h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
+$0.92 · 15.319133 @ 0.940
BUY·8h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
+$2.15 · 30.645157 @ 0.930
BUY·8h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
+$1.06 · 15.161285 @ 0.930
BUY·8h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
+$0.77 · 15.315788 @ 0.950
BUY·8h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$1.53 · 30.63156 @ 0.950
BUY·8h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$0.61 · 20.206166 @ 0.970
BUY·8h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$1.07 · 15.322571 @ 0.930
BUY·8h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
+$1.89 · 30.0917 @ 0.937
BUY·9h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$0.46 · 15.309266 @ 0.970
BUY·9h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
+$0.45 · 15.154633 @ 0.970
BUY·9h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
+$4.73 · 33.767435 @ 0.860
BUY·9h agoageing·0x89b4…4f46why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
+$2.51 · 31.33695 @ 0.920
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.