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0x8818D81653a790e056100dA8dA1525A5d589f8Ac-1783222584060

0x8818…f8acpolymarket ↗last active 24m ago
All-time PnL
-$419.16
Win rate
49.3%
49 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$5.90
30d PnL
-$419.16
30d trades
100
30d wins
35
35.0%
30d volume
$5.85k
Category edge
Sports
80.0%
+21.0pp
n=5
Crypto
47.3%
-5.4pp
n=93

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
49.0% (48 wins / 50 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$241.48
-$420.40
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 95%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 95% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.84 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.54Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $50Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.93 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 54¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $50.00 · p90 $100.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 10:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·24m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
163.934425 @ 0.610
BUY·25m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
160.407618 @ 0.623
BUY·31m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
-$300.00 · 545.8875 @ 0.550
BUY·33m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
-$50.00 · 138.888889 @ 0.360
BUY·36m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
-$50.00 · 101.9464 @ 0.490
BUY·36m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
-$100.00 · 205.874082 @ 0.486
BUY·39m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
-$25.00 · 69.444445 @ 0.360
BUY·41m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
-$25.00 · 46.75926 @ 0.535
BUY·41m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
-$100.00 · 189.962963 @ 0.526
BUY·45m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
-$100.00 · 197.128628 @ 0.507
BUY·54m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
-$50.00 · 93.991852 @ 0.532
BUY·54m ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
+$11.23 · 36.231883 @ 0.690
BUY·1h ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
+$8.33 · 33.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·1h ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
+$44.34 · 94.339623 @ 0.530
BUY·1h ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
+$48.53 · 73.529412 @ 0.340
BUY·1h ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
+$43.72 · 93.722963 @ 0.533
BUY·1h ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
-$25.00 · 53.034375 @ 0.471
BUY·1h ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
+$31.97 · 81.967212 @ 0.610
BUY·1h ago·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
-$25.00 · 67.567568 @ 0.370
BUY·10h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
+$22.46 · 72.463767 @ 0.690
SELL·10h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
-$1.02 · 102.04 @ 0.990
BUY·10h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
+$52.04 · 102.040817 @ 0.490
BUY·10h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
-$25.00 · 50 @ 0.500
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
+$25.84 · 50.84 @ 0.492
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
-$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
-$25.00 · 48.076922 @ 0.520
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
+$24.02 · 49.019608 @ 0.510
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
+$42.86 · 142.857143 @ 0.700
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
-$25.00 · 44.642856 @ 0.560
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
-$25.00 · 48.076922 @ 0.520
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
-$5.00 · 8.77193 @ 0.570
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
-$25.00 · 49.019608 @ 0.510
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$23.25 · 75 @ 0.690
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
-$5.00 · 19.23077 @ 0.260
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$48.04 · 98.039216 @ 0.510
BUY·13h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
-$25.00 · 67.567568 @ 0.370
BUY·16h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$29.00 · 100 @ 0.710
BUY·16h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
+$100.49 · 200.486275 @ 0.499
BUY·16h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
-$25.00 · 104.166667 @ 0.240
BUY·17h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
-$50.00 · 101.3952 @ 0.493
BUY·17h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
+$37.72 · 87.719297 @ 0.570
BUY·17h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
+$78.21 · 128.205129 @ 0.390
BUY·17h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
+$47.01 · 97.012308 @ 0.515
BUY·17h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
-$50.00 · 102.040817 @ 0.490
BUY·18h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
+$26.65 · 51.652041 @ 0.484
BUY·18h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
+$54.17 · 104.166667 @ 0.480
BUY·18h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$28.50 · 50 @ 0.430
BUY·18h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
-$25.00 · 48.846154 @ 0.512
BUY·18h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
-$50.00 · 98.039216 @ 0.510
BUY·18h agoageing·0x8818…f8acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
-$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.