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15

15.adriannnnnn

0x8805…9587polymarket ↗last active 51m ago
All-time PnL
-$5.70k
Win rate
20.7%
10 of 50
Total trades
50
Avg PnL / trade
-$196.69
30d PnL
-$396.36
30d trades
18
30d wins
4
22.2%
30d volume
$23.2k
Category edge
Crypto
28.6%
-14.5pp
n=7
Sports
30.6%
-9.1pp
n=36

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
28.3% (13 wins / 33 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 9-day series
$0.00
-$5.70k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 78%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 50 trades
Category focus: Sports 78% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.56 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.33Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $35Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.18 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 33¢ · 50 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $35.02 · p90 $2.50k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 02:00 · 50 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·51m ago·0x8805…9587why? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
12243.149854 @ 0.532
BUY·4d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
4380.267227 @ 0.653
SELL·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Natus Vincere on LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
-$678.80 · 3232.38 @ 0.790
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
GIANTX on LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
-$100.94 · 480.666667 @ 0.210
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Natus Vincere on LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
+$732.39 · 3232.386795 @ 0.773
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
-$5.00 · 31.25 @ 0.160
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
-$25.00 · 2500 @ 0.010
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
-$100.00 · 10000 @ 0.010
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Sinners on Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
-$600.00 · 3264.179048 @ 0.184
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Nuclear TigeRES on Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
+$324.84 · 2324.843446 @ 0.860
SELL·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Nuclear TigeRES on Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
-$746.36 · 3086.41 @ 0.758
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Nuclear TigeRES on Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
+$634.81 · 3134.811875 @ 0.797
SELL·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
+$138.37 · 363.63 @ 0.381
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Inner Circle Esports on Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
-$55.00 · 295.526316 @ 0.186
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
FunPlus Phoenix on Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
+$137.31 · 337.309 @ 0.593
SELL·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
-$3.86 · 350.87 @ 0.989
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
-$200.00 · 363.636364 @ 0.550
BUY·8d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
+$150.88 · 350.877193 @ 0.570
BUY·61d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
on Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
54.879805 @ 0.173
BUY·67d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
on France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
448.25123 @ 0.406
SELL·67d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Yes on Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
-$368.53 · 517.24 @ 0.287
SELL·67d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-14?
+$45.04 · 114.75 @ 0.393
BUY·67d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-14?
-$45.33 · 114.759492 @ 0.395
BUY·67d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Yes on Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
+$367.24 · 517.241378 @ 0.290
BUY·72d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
No on Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
-$6.00 · 6000 @ 0.001
BUY·72d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
No on Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
-$881.38 · 881380 @ 0.001
BUY·72d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
No on Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
-$10.00 · 10000 @ 0.001
BUY·94d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Yes on Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
-$4.22k · 5486.532465 @ 0.770
BUY·94d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Yes on Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
-$49.67 · 261.421051 @ 0.190
BUY·95d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Yes on Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
-$100.00 · 625 @ 0.160
BUY·112d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Yes on Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
-$1.00 · 1000 @ 0.001
BUY·112d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Yes on Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
-$5.00 · 137.7 @ 0.036
BUY·112d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
No on Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
-$5.00 · 111.968075 @ 0.045
SELL·112d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
+$5.79 · 13.15 @ 0.440
BUY·112d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
-$5.00 · 13.157893 @ 0.380
BUY·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Eva Marie Desvignes on ITF Fukui: Hiromi Abe vs Eva Marie Desvignes
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
BUY·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Honori Koyama on ITF Fukui: Honori Koyama vs Cheuk Ying Shek
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
BUY·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Tsuki Shibutani on ITF Fukui: Rinko Matsuda vs Tsuki Shibutani
-$1.00 · 109 @ 0.009
BUY·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Kansas City Royals on New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
-$1.00 · 1000 @ 0.001
BUY·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Spurs on Spurs vs. Thunder
-$5.00 · 27.777776 @ 0.180
SELL·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
LAZER on Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
+$18.82 · 50.19 @ 0.375
BUY·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
LAZER on Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
-$21.00 · 50.190475 @ 0.418
SELL·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
+$10.00 · 16.66 @ 0.600
BUY·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
-$5.00 · 16.666665 @ 0.300
BUY·115d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Iowa Stormboar on Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs
-$1.00 · 20.833332 @ 0.048
BUY·116d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
LOUD on LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
-$16.00 · 33.333332 @ 0.480
SELL·116d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Baltimore Orioles on Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
-$33.46 · 38.46 @ 0.130
BUY·116d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Baltimore Orioles on Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
+$33.46 · 38.461537 @ 0.130
SELL·116d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Baltimore Orioles on Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
-$20.63 · 37.5 @ 0.450
BUY·116d agostale·0x8805…9587why? →
Baltimore Orioles on Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
+$19.50 · 37.5 @ 0.480
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.