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WA

waterx-

0x870f…6da1polymarket ↗last active 16m ago
All-time PnL
$3.37k
Win rate
71.4%
71 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$3.57
30d PnL
$74.87
30d trades
100
30d wins
15
15.0%
30d volume
$40.2k
Category edge
Crypto
68.0%
+9.0pp
n=25

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
68.0% (17 wins / 8 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Sports 55%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 55% of categorized tradesa lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.80 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.59Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $5Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.67 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 59¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $4.94 · p90 $2.34k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 11:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·16m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
5.369564 @ 0.920
BUY·17m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Up on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
+$3.06 · 163.5315 @ 0.981
BUY·17m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
3.935481 @ 0.620
BUY·18m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
5.188283 @ 0.956
BUY·18m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
3.21739 @ 0.920
BUY·20m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
3.935481 @ 0.620
BUY·20m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
4.293477 @ 0.920
BUY·21m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
3.935481 @ 0.620
BUY·21m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
3.935481 @ 0.620
BUY·21m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
3.21739 @ 0.920
BUY·23m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
3.935481 @ 0.620
BUY·23m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
3.935481 @ 0.620
BUY·24m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
5.369564 @ 0.920
BUY·24m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
3.935481 @ 0.620
BUY·26m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
3.21739 @ 0.920
BUY·27m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
2.684781 @ 0.920
BUY·28m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
5.193711 @ 0.955
BUY·30m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
236.875 @ 0.080
BUY·30m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
105.333332 @ 0.090
BUY·31m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
3.1204 @ 0.955
BUY·33m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
5.369564 @ 0.920
BUY·34m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Down on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
+$38.98 · 225.351644 @ 0.827
BUY·35m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
5.369564 @ 0.920
BUY·38m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
5.188272 @ 0.956
BUY·40m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
+$3.94 · 189.142856 @ 0.979
BUY·41m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
5.193311 @ 0.957
BUY·44m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
3.6375 @ 0.800
BUY·44m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
5.369564 @ 0.920
BUY·45m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
5.369564 @ 0.920
BUY·52m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
+$1.87 · 187.4545 @ 0.990
BUY·53m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
4.2 @ 0.700
BUY·54m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
5.369564 @ 0.920
BUY·55m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Alliance on Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs
10.666665 @ 0.480
BUY·57m ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Up on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
+$16.78 · 185.835155 @ 0.910
BUY·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Yes on Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
19.12 @ 0.250
BUY·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
44.241378 @ 0.290
BUY·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Up on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
+$3.42 · 171.24485 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
9003.597574 @ 0.320
BUY·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
9386.86 @ 0.307
BUY·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Up on BNB Up or Down - July 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
+$5.05 · 168.298966 @ 0.970
SELL·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
17437.05 @ 0.290
SELL·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
7812.78 @ 0.300
SELL·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
7812.78 @ 0.300
SELL·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
18615.59 @ 0.300
SELL·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
7812.78 @ 0.300
SELL·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
+$7.87 · 34.23 @ 0.230
BUY·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
-$4.45 · 34.230768 @ 0.130
BUY·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
+$5.53 · 151.3634 @ 0.963
SELL·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
10.81 @ 0.300
SELL·1h ago·0x870f…6da1why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
8.53 @ 0.300
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.