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Chayil67

0x86f8…2ed6polymarket ↗last active 13m ago
All-time PnL
$143.53
Win rate
73.2%
73 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$2.56
30d PnL
$143.53
30d trades
100
30d wins
41
41.0%
30d volume
$2.83k
Category edge
Crypto
71.7%
+7.0pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
71.7% (71 wins / 28 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 18 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.58 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.72Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $10Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.34 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 72¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $10.00 · p90 $70.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 16:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·13m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
87.5 @ 0.800
SELL·16m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
-$6.79 · 226.22 @ 0.970
BUY·18m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
+$5.27 · 75.268814 @ 0.930
BUY·18m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
+$5.68 · 75.682685 @ 0.925
BUY·18m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
+$5.27 · 75.268814 @ 0.930
SELL·19m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
+$5.90 · 29.48 @ 0.200
SELL·20m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
+$0.95 · 5 @ 0.190
BUY·20m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
-$10.00 · 34.482759 @ 0.290
SELL·23m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$29.23 · 116.66 @ 0.749
BUY·23m ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
+$46.67 · 116.666667 @ 0.600
BUY·1h ago·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
+$0.79 · 10.494614 @ 0.924
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
-$10.00 · 19.23077 @ 0.520
SELL·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
-$2.65 · 132.73 @ 0.980
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
+$1.32 · 26.31578 @ 0.950
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
+$0.77 · 25.773166 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
+$1.88 · 26.881714 @ 0.930
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
+$1.88 · 26.881714 @ 0.930
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
+$1.88 · 26.88 @ 0.930
SELL·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
-$37.01 · 48.07 @ 0.230
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
+$23.08 · 48.076922 @ 0.520
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$10.00 · 15.625 @ 0.640
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$10.00 · 14.492754 @ 0.690
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$10.00 · 15.151514 @ 0.660
SELL·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
-$21.69 · 32.86 @ 0.340
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
+$7.03 · 12.030715 @ 0.416
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
+$10.83 · 20.833334 @ 0.480
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
+$4.09 · 9.090908 @ 0.550
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
-$5.00 · 8.77193 @ 0.570
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
+$2.05 · 12.048188 @ 0.830
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
+$2.15 · 12.154217 @ 0.823
SELL·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
-$0.18 · 6.02 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
+$1.02 · 6.024094 @ 0.830
BUY·3h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
-$5.00 · 7.042251 @ 0.710
BUY·3h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
+$2.58 · 7.575758 @ 0.660
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
+$5.64 · 25.641022 @ 0.780
SELL·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
-$51.73 · 191.6 @ 0.730
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
+$36.05 · 136.047026 @ 0.735
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
+$15.56 · 55.555553 @ 0.720
SELL·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
-$2.39 · 26.56 @ 0.910
SELL·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
+$2.50 · 10.86 @ 0.230
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
+$1.65 · 6.653158 @ 0.752
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
+$1.67 · 6.666664 @ 0.750
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
+$1.58 · 6.578945 @ 0.760
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
+$1.67 · 6.666664 @ 0.750
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
-$5.00 · 10.869566 @ 0.460
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
-$5.00 · 25 @ 0.200
SELL·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
-$1.12 · 27.91 @ 0.960
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
+$2.04 · 7.042251 @ 0.710
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
+$1.85 · 6.849314 @ 0.730
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86f8…2ed6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
+$1.67 · 6.666664 @ 0.750
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.