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zhangfan151

0x86de…55c3polymarket ↗last active 20m ago
All-time PnL
-$5.89k
Win rate
63.0%
63 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$104.17
30d PnL
-$5.63k
30d trades
100
30d wins
34
34.0%
30d volume
$35.3k
Category edge
Crypto
58.3%
-22.2pp
n=96

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
58.3% (56 wins / 40 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$0.00
-$6.33k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.78 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.70Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $219Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.94 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 70¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $219.29 · p90 $837.80
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 19:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·20m ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
364.07 @ 0.077
BUY·21m ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
1213.160915 @ 0.809
BUY·25m ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
168.210525 @ 0.743
BUY·31m ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
364.077711 @ 0.798
BUY·1h ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
+$56.57 · 253.117971 @ 0.777
BUY·1h ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 20, 6AM ET
+$3.36 · 18.378044 @ 0.817
BUY·1h ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 6AM ET
+$21.40 · 120 @ 0.822
BUY·1h ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 6AM ET
+$7.00 · 40 @ 0.825
BUY·1h ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 6AM ET
+$16.50 · 100 @ 0.835
BUY·1h ago·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 6AM ET
+$41.86 · 263.5 @ 0.841
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
+$5.56 · 24.194804 @ 0.770
BUY·2h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
+$24.95 · 131.320984 @ 0.810
BUY·3h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 20, 4AM ET
+$6.53 · 41.94 @ 0.844
BUY·3h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
+$131.67 · 624.22375 @ 0.789
BUY·4h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 3AM ET
+$125.56 · 813.84533 @ 0.846
SELL·4h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 3AM ET
+$74.34 · 397.52 @ 0.187
BUY·4h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 3AM ET
-$281.25 · 397.527026 @ 0.707
BUY·4h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - September 20, 3AM ET
+$109.16 · 610.86682 @ 0.821
SELL·5h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ET
-$0.62 · 619.59 @ 0.999
BUY·5h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ET
+$27.42 · 139.282715 @ 0.803
BUY·5h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ET
+$37.94 · 212.96 @ 0.822
BUY·5h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ET
+$31.79 · 99.35 @ 0.680
BUY·5h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ET
+$55.08 · 168 @ 0.672
SELL·5h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET
-$0.38 · 377.93 @ 0.999
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
+$3.66 · 33.26 @ 0.890
BUY·6h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET
+$50.95 · 377.930791 @ 0.865
BUY·7h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ET
+$74.62 · 332.2008 @ 0.775
BUY·7h agoageing·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ET
+$82.76 · 412.530117 @ 0.799
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
-$164.55 · 265.403226 @ 0.620
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
-$384.65 · 729.905661 @ 0.527
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 18, 11AM ET
-$8.50 · 10 @ 0.850
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - September 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
-$12.00 · 13.953485 @ 0.860
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11AM ET
-$34.34 · 51.392239 @ 0.668
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11AM ET
-$100.66 · 149.34 @ 0.674
SELL·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 10AM ET
-$15.31 · 422.16 @ 0.964
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 10AM ET
+$63.27 · 422.162785 @ 0.850
SELL·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - September 18, 8AM ET
-$0.13 · 131.3 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8AM ET
-$0.19 · 189.02 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8AM ET
+$37.09 · 125.309858 @ 0.704
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8AM ET
+$7.94 · 28.72 @ 0.723
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8AM ET
+$9.00 · 35 @ 0.743
BUY·1d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - September 18, 8AM ET
+$26.30 · 131.303446 @ 0.800
BUY·2d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
+$0.88 · 5.882353 @ 0.850
BUY·2d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
+$0.95 · 5.952381 @ 0.840
BUY·2d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on XRP Up or Down - September 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
+$0.68 · 5.681816 @ 0.880
BUY·2d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 17, 11AM ET
-$2.60 · 3.095237 @ 0.840
BUY·2d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
-$48.43 · 76.609375 @ 0.632
BUY·4d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
-$485.29 · 775.075556 @ 0.626
BUY·4d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
-$583.54 · 813.103288 @ 0.718
BUY·4d agostale·0x86de…55c3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
-$227.62 · 416.833683 @ 0.546
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.