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KI

kish168

0x86c7…a08apolymarket ↗last active 30m ago
All-time PnL
$82.51
Win rate
52.5%
53 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.34
30d PnL
$79.14
30d trades
100
30d wins
31
31.0%
30d volume
$3.73k
Category edge
Crypto
42.9%
-4.4pp
n=98

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.9% (42 wins / 56 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 30 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$241.27
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.36 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.47Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $30Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.86 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 47¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $30.00 · p90 $71.29
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·30m ago·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
108.91 @ 0.490
BUY·31m ago·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
108.913044 @ 0.459
BUY·8h agoageing·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
-$14.94 · 28.18868 @ 0.530
BUY·13h agoageing·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
-$12.00 · 41.379311 @ 0.290
BUY·14h agoageing·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
-$49.84 · 124.6 @ 0.400
BUY·15h agoageing·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
-$29.40 · 81.666667 @ 0.360
BUY·16h agoageing·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
+$47.56 · 82.55814 @ 0.424
BUY·17h agoageing·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
-$20.00 · 53.157895 @ 0.376
BUY·17h agoageing·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
-$20.00 · 43.478261 @ 0.460
BUY·21h agoageing·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
+$20.00 · 40 @ 0.500
BUY·23h agoageing·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
+$29.90 · 58.9 @ 0.492
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
-$98.83 · 395.32 @ 0.250
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$50.00 · 166.666667 @ 0.300
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
-$30.00 · 40.540538 @ 0.740
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
-$21.30 · 92.59 @ 0.770
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
-$20.37 · 92.59 @ 0.780
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
+$135.19 · 185.185186 @ 0.270
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
+$57.00 · 100 @ 0.570
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
-$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
-$18.77 · 40.81 @ 0.540
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
+$20.82 · 40.816327 @ 0.490
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
+$79.86 · 112.48 @ 0.710
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
-$48.37 · 112.488373 @ 0.430
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
+$46.04 · 139.53 @ 0.330
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
-$60.00 · 139.534884 @ 0.430
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$41.42 · 71.42 @ 0.580
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
-$20.00 · 71.428572 @ 0.280
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
+$49.72 · 57.44 @ 0.866
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
-$27.00 · 57.446809 @ 0.470
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
+$2.00 · 200 @ 0.010
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
-$50.00 · 200 @ 0.250
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
-$31.00 · 57.407408 @ 0.540
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
-$35.00 · 111.78125 @ 0.313
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
-$40.00 · 97.560976 @ 0.410
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
-$13.56 · 84.74 @ 0.840
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
+$34.75 · 84.745763 @ 0.590
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
-$5.00 · 50 @ 0.100
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
-$5.00 · 18.518519 @ 0.270
SELL·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
-$0.18 · 17.85 @ 0.990
BUY·3d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
+$12.86 · 17.857143 @ 0.280
SELL·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$8.79 · 17.24 @ 0.510
BUY·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
-$5.00 · 17.24138 @ 0.290
BUY·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$5.00 · 26.31579 @ 0.190
SELL·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$39.55 · 75.32 @ 0.525
BUY·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$5.00 · 62.5 @ 0.080
BUY·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$5.00 · 12.820513 @ 0.390
SELL·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
-$2.73 · 136.36 @ 0.980
BUY·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
+$35.45 · 45.454546 @ 0.220
BUY·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
+$50.91 · 90.909091 @ 0.440
SELL·4d agostale·0x86c7…a08awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
+$75.61 · 121.95 @ 0.620
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.