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hormulaic

0x8639…edc7polymarket ↗last active 8m ago
All-time PnL
$48.18
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$2.44
30d PnL
$41.49
30d trades
100
30d wins
17
17.0%
30d volume
$1.15k
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 19 markets — verify independently
Trading pattern
Generalisttwo-sidedsmall-sizeBalanced
Why Generalisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Directional bias: +0.00 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.39Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $11Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.05 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 39¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $11.07 · p90 $12.14
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
35.544296 @ 0.343
SELL·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.135928 @ 0.377
SELL·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.653947 @ 0.383
BUY·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.135929 @ 0.342
BUY·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
35.544296 @ 0.309
SELL·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
28.305722 @ 0.421
BUY·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.653947 @ 0.348
BUY·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
28.305722 @ 0.389
SELL·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
35.544296 @ 0.343
BUY·8m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
35.544296 @ 0.309
SELL·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.68294 @ 0.382
BUY·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.68294 @ 0.347
SELL·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
35.576829 @ 0.343
BUY·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
35.576829 @ 0.309
SELL·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.16534 @ 0.377
SELL·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.68294 @ 0.382
BUY·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.68294 @ 0.347
BUY·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.165341 @ 0.342
SELL·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.691246 @ 0.382
BUY·9m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.691246 @ 0.347
SELL·10m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.096452 @ 0.377
BUY·10m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.096452 @ 0.343
SELL·10m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.691246 @ 0.383
BUY·10m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
31.691246 @ 0.347
SELL·10m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.16534 @ 0.377
BUY·10m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.165341 @ 0.342
SELL·12m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on AC Goianiense vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 3.5 AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.339244 @ 0.374
BUY·12m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on AC Goianiense vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 3.5 AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.339244 @ 0.340
SELL·13m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.096545 @ 0.377
BUY·13m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.096546 @ 0.343
SELL·14m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.096545 @ 0.377
BUY·14m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Spread: SC Recife (-1.5) AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
32.096546 @ 0.343
SELL·21m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-07-27?
31.97 @ 0.374
BUY·21m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-07-27?
31.97 @ 0.344
SELL·21m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-07-27?
31.97 @ 0.374
BUY·21m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-07-27?
31.97 @ 0.344
SELL·21m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-07-27?
31.97 @ 0.374
BUY·21m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-07-27?
31.97 @ 0.344
SELL·21m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-07-29?
27.43 @ 0.431
SELL·22m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-07-27?
31.97 @ 0.374
BUY·22m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-07-27?
31.97 @ 0.344
BUY·22m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-07-29?
27.43 @ 0.401
SELL·22m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-07-29?
27.43 @ 0.431
SELL·22m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?
35.71 @ 0.338
BUY·22m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-07-29?
27.43 @ 0.401
SELL·22m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on SC Recife vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 4.5 AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
27.5616 @ 0.404
BUY·22m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?
35.71 @ 0.308
SELL·22m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Vancouver: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
35.757938 @ 0.343
SELL·23m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Samsun: Max Basing vs Sidharth Rawat AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper
30.126338 @ 0.397
SELL·23m ago·0x8639…edc7why? →
on Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper AND Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?
35.71 @ 0.340
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.