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0x8527282b4f8292bc85200058d718d521455E9a7f-1779988189179

0x8527…9a7fpolymarket ↗last active 12m ago
All-time PnL
$114.30
Win rate
62.3%
62 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.14
30d PnL
$69.37
30d trades
100
30d wins
38
38.0%
30d volume
$4.21k
Category edge
Crypto
60.0%
+3.9pp
n=5
Sports
49.4%
+0.3pp
n=79

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
50.0% (42 wins / 42 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 23 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 17-day series
$126.51
-$106.12
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 95%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 95% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.44 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.67Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $29Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.74 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 67¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $29.18 · p90 $87.21
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·12m ago·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Golden State Valkyries on Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries
117.818175 @ 0.880
BUY·43m ago·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Minnesota Lynx on New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx
45.454544 @ 0.660
BUY·49m ago·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Wake Forest on Spread: Miami (FL) (-27.5)
12.345678 @ 0.810
SELL·1h ago·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
75.67 @ 0.990
BUY·2h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Iva Jovic on Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Iva Jovic
84.474359 @ 0.780
BUY·2h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
75.675676 @ 0.370
SELL·2h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
148.86 @ 0.640
BUY·3h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner
57.35294 @ 0.680
BUY·4h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$29.00 · 42.647059 @ 0.680
SELL·4h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?
-$16.39 · 86.25 @ 0.810
BUY·5h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?
+$17.25 · 86.25 @ 0.800
BUY·9h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
-$23.00 · 35.384614 @ 0.650
BUY·10h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
-$25.00 · 39.888889 @ 0.627
SELL·11h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$0.07 · 74.19 @ 0.999
BUY·13h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
-$19.00 · 40.425532 @ 0.470
SELL·14h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
-$0.02 · 24.24 @ 0.999
BUY·14h agoageing·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
+$8.24 · 24.242423 @ 0.660
SELL·1d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Iva Jovic on Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Iva Jovic
-$0.12 · 116.88 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$28.19 · 74.193547 @ 0.620
SELL·1d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17?
-$0.09 · 86.25 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Iva Jovic on Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Iva Jovic
+$17.53 · 116.88 @ 0.850
BUY·1d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17?
+$17.25 · 86.25 @ 0.800
BUY·1d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$25.00 · 83.333334 @ 0.300
SELL·1d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
-$0.06 · 55.55 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$6.00 · 17.647059 @ 0.340
SELL·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$0.62 · 2.7 @ 0.230
SELL·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Yes on Will FNATIC Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?
7.63 @ 0.002
SELL·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$2.42 · 15.15 @ 0.160
SELL·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
-$1.52 · 7.24 @ 0.790
BUY·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
-$5.00 · 17.857143 @ 0.280
BUY·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$2.25 · 7.246377 @ 0.690
BUY·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
+$30.56 · 55.555556 @ 0.450
BUY·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Iva Jovic on Guadalajara Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic
+$8.86 · 73.863633 @ 0.880
SELL·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Over on Sunderland AFC vs. AZ: Sunderland AFC O/U 0.5
-$0.06 · 60 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Yes on Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16?
-$1.92 · 47.94 @ 0.960
BUY·2d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Yes on Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16?
+$12.95 · 47.945206 @ 0.730
BUY·3d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$11.23 · 36.231885 @ 0.690
SELL·3d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Akbar Abdullaev on Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card)
-$0.12 · 124.94 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Akbar Abdullaev on Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card)
+$3.50 · 50 @ 0.930
BUY·3d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15?
+$5.84 · 116.8421 @ 0.950
SELL·3d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will FC Südtirol win on 2026-09-15?
-$0.11 · 111.56 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will FC Südtirol win on 2026-09-15?
+$10.04 · 111.560433 @ 0.910
BUY·4d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
T1 Academy on LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
+$31.57 · 101.826087 @ 0.690
BUY·4d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-09-14?
+$8.59 · 71.579541 @ 0.880
SELL·4d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-09-14?
-$0.06 · 63.42 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
No on Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-09-14?
+$9.51 · 63.423526 @ 0.850
BUY·5d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
on LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs AND Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-09-14?
60.788634 @ 0.399
BUY·5d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Natus Vincere on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$47.00 · 87.196297 @ 0.539
BUY·5d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Yes on Will FNATIC Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?
7.635229 @ 0.262
BUY·5d agostale·0x8527…9a7fwhy? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
-$26.00 · 81.25 @ 0.320
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.