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Kibugu1

0x84a4…2fbcpolymarket ↗last active 29m ago
All-time PnL
$488.22
Win rate
73.7%
27 of 36
Total trades
36
Avg PnL / trade
$25.83
30d PnL
$490.68
30d trades
36
30d wins
14
38.9%
30d volume
$4.88k
Category edge
Sports
58.1%
+5.8pp
n=31

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
58.1% (18 wins / 13 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 6-day series
$490.68
-$76.37
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 36 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.39 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.69Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $149Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.39 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 69¢ · 36 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $148.77 · p90 $203.90
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 11:00 · 36 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·29m ago·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
263.157895 @ 0.570
BUY·34m ago·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Over on Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
250 @ 0.600
BUY·36m ago·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19?
254.237287 @ 0.590
SELL·42m ago·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
245.9 @ 0.600
BUY·42m ago·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
245.901638 @ 0.610
SELL·11h agoageing·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Elche CF on Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)
-$4.43 · 208.33 @ 0.979
SELL·11h agoageing·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will KAA Gent win on 2026-09-18?
-$8.33 · 277.77 @ 0.970
SELL·12h agoageing·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Under on Stade de Reims vs. Montpellier HSC: O/U 2.5
-$0.30 · 300 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Elche CF on Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)
+$58.33 · 208.333332 @ 0.720
BUY·1d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Under on Stade de Reims vs. Montpellier HSC: O/U 2.5
+$150.00 · 300 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will KAA Gent win on 2026-09-18?
+$127.78 · 277.777778 @ 0.540
SELL·1d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
NEC on Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
+$31.97 · 245.9 @ 0.130
SELL·1d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Over on Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
-$49.14 · 258.62 @ 0.810
BUY·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
NEC on Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
-$150.00 · 245.901638 @ 0.610
BUY·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Over on Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
+$108.62 · 258.62069 @ 0.580
BUY·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
+$104.24 · 254.237287 @ 0.590
SELL·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?
-$3.75 · 93.75 @ 0.960
BUY·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?
+$3.75 · 93.75 @ 0.960
SELL·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?
-$123.91 · 217.39 @ 0.430
SELL·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
-$0.14 · 140 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?
+$117.39 · 217.391305 @ 0.460
BUY·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-09-16?
+$51.52 · 151.515152 @ 0.660
BUY·2d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
+$40.85 · 140.845068 @ 0.710
BUY·4d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-15?
+$31.58 · 131.578945 @ 0.760
BUY·4d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
-$100.00 · 178.571429 @ 0.560
BUY·4d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?
+$35.14 · 135.135134 @ 0.740
SELL·4d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Parma Calcio 1913 on Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
-$0.15 · 151.51 @ 0.999
SELL·4d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
-$0.15 · 153.84 @ 0.999
BUY·4d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Parma Calcio 1913 on Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
+$51.52 · 151.515152 @ 0.660
BUY·4d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
No on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?
+$40.85 · 140.845068 @ 0.710
BUY·4d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
+$53.85 · 153.846154 @ 0.650
BUY·6d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
+$30.65 · 80.64516 @ 0.620
BUY·6d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Under on AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
-$150.00 · 238.095237 @ 0.630
BUY·6d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-09-12?
-$100.00 · 172.413792 @ 0.580
BUY·6d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
+$61.29 · 161.290323 @ 0.620
BUY·6d agostale·0x84a4…2fbcwhy? →
No on Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-09-12?
+$81.69 · 281.690141 @ 0.710
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.