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Atomforge

0x8438…3680polymarket ↗last active 28m ago
All-time PnL
$535.79
Win rate
66.7%
67 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$11.91
30d PnL
$535.79
30d trades
100
30d wins
30
30.0%
30d volume
$3.57k
Category edge
Crypto
65.3%
+9.7pp
n=98

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
65.3% (64 wins / 34 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $15Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.43 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $15.39 · p90 $96.64
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·28m ago·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
15.814815 @ 0.540
BUY·28m ago·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
222.896552 @ 0.580
BUY·1h ago·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
+$6.30 · 7.5 @ 0.160
BUY·1h ago·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
+$31.97 · 38.0625 @ 0.160
BUY·3h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
+$32.32 · 65.960785 @ 0.510
BUY·3h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
+$0.89 · 5.240964 @ 0.830
BUY·3h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
+$5.76 · 48 @ 0.880
BUY·3h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
+$23.68 · 32 @ 0.260
BUY·4h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
+$23.11 · 31.23077 @ 0.260
BUY·7h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$82.08 · 228 @ 0.640
BUY·7h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$5.70 · 15 @ 0.620
BUY·7h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
-$58.48 · 86 @ 0.680
BUY·7h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$2.40 · 5.446429 @ 0.560
BUY·7h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$11.98 · 30.459017 @ 0.607
BUY·7h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$12.25 · 34.153845 @ 0.641
BUY·7h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$2.29 · 6.553845 @ 0.650
BUY·7h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$18.48 · 61.6 @ 0.700
BUY·7h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$23.78 · 79.257143 @ 0.700
BUY·9h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
+$11.42 · 24.301887 @ 0.530
BUY·9h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
+$6.22 · 17.784614 @ 0.650
BUY·9h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
+$5.41 · 15.461537 @ 0.650
BUY·9h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
+$10.15 · 29 @ 0.650
BUY·10h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
+$14.82 · 22.8 @ 0.350
BUY·10h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
+$1.25 · 5.197366 @ 0.760
BUY·10h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
+$4.94 · 24.725 @ 0.800
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
+$20.81 · 99.113923 @ 0.790
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
+$5.47 · 21.866664 @ 0.750
BUY·11h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
+$9.17 · 18.705883 @ 0.510
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
+$1.27 · 9.10465 @ 0.860
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
+$3.95 · 28.197671 @ 0.860
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
+$5.45 · 41.93103 @ 0.870
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
-$2.88 · 22.153847 @ 0.130
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
-$3.84 · 32 @ 0.120
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
-$2.52 · 19.384616 @ 0.130
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
-$4.55 · 37.916667 @ 0.120
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
+$11.83 · 22.75 @ 0.480
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
+$6.10 · 10.697675 @ 0.430
BUY·12h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
+$7.63 · 13.866667 @ 0.450
BUY·13h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
+$3.37 · 21.035712 @ 0.840
BUY·13h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
+$26.44 · 174.312233 @ 0.848
BUY·13h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
-$2.25 · 9.782609 @ 0.230
BUY·13h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
-$14.57 · 60.708334 @ 0.240
BUY·13h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
-$5.76 · 24 @ 0.240
BUY·13h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
-$14.88 · 53.142858 @ 0.280
BUY·14h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
+$11.95 · 31.451613 @ 0.620
BUY·14h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
+$41.58 · 103.95 @ 0.600
BUY·14h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
-$5.94 · 11.423077 @ 0.520
BUY·14h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
-$5.94 · 11.647059 @ 0.510
BUY·14h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
+$5.31 · 10.408164 @ 0.490
BUY·14h agoageing·0x8438…3680why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
+$5.31 · 10.408164 @ 0.490
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.