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wapislo2000s

0x8423…5466polymarket ↗last active 13m ago
All-time PnL
-$63.00
Win rate
56.0%
18 of 33
Total trades
33
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.52
30d PnL
-$63.00
30d trades
33
30d wins
14
42.4%
30d volume
$5.66k
Category edge
Crypto
53.1%
-0.3pp
n=32

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
53.1% (17 wins / 15 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 33 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.82 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.55Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.89 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 55¢ · 33 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $400.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 21:00 · 33 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·13m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
462.182271 @ 0.433
BUY·16m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
+$50.00 · 250 @ 0.800
BUY·18m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 243.902438 @ 0.410
BUY·20m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
-$100.00 · 151.727271 @ 0.659
BUY·23m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
-$35.33 · 64.236362 @ 0.550
BUY·27m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
+$21.81 · 421.80895 @ 0.948
BUY·29m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
-$2.29 · 51 @ 0.045
BUY·29m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
-$4.00 · 100 @ 0.040
BUY·30m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$31.16 · 131.157921 @ 0.762
BUY·40m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
-$2.00 · 200 @ 0.010
BUY·42m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
+$118.80 · 518.798 @ 0.771
SELL·45m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
-$97.07 · 100 @ 0.029
BUY·47m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
-$400.00 · 470.669307 @ 0.850
BUY·52m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
+$64.25 · 364.249517 @ 0.824
BUY·53m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
+$31.67 · 111.66861 @ 0.716
BUY·54m ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
+$9.28 · 309.278333 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
-$100.00 · 534.881 @ 0.187
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$18.00 · 300 @ 0.060
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
+$69.01 · 369.010717 @ 0.813
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$18.17 · 318.17356 @ 0.943
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$6.19 · 206.185566 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$39.91 · 139.912914 @ 0.715
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
-$1.20 · 30 @ 0.040
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
+$91.43 · 491.431805 @ 0.814
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
-$5.00 · 71.7375 @ 0.070
SELL·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
-$122.36 · 576.6 @ 0.788
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
+$176.61 · 576.609164 @ 0.694
SELL·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$16.01 · 106.21 @ 0.151
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$21.25 · 106.25 @ 0.800
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$13.45 · 319.4454 @ 0.958
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$47.00 · 106.81818 @ 0.440
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
-$0.84 · 20 @ 0.042
BUY·1h ago·0x8423…5466why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
+$112.04 · 412.040403 @ 0.728
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.