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EV

evflow

0x840d…45b2polymarket ↗last active 25m ago
All-time PnL
-$15.9k
Win rate
51.3%
24 of 47
Total trades
47
Avg PnL / trade
-$408.94
30d PnL
-$15.9k
30d trades
47
30d wins
20
42.6%
30d volume
$76.3k
Category edge
Sports
50.0%
-0.8pp
n=42

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
50.0% (21 wins / 21 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 2 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 9-day series
$1.03k
-$16.6k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 96%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 47 trades
Category focus: Sports 96% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.91 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.59Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $2,000Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.61 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 59¢ · 47 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $2.00k · p90 $3.00k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 13:00 · 47 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·25m ago·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-19?
2560.46 @ 0.704
BUY·1h ago·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?
4347.826087 @ 0.460
BUY·1h ago·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?
+$677.10 · 2677.100532 @ 0.747
BUY·2h agoageing·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?
3636.363637 @ 0.550
BUY·18h agoageing·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$2.00k · 3388 @ 0.590
BUY·20h agoageing·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$3.00k · 6250 @ 0.480
BUY·1d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?
-$3.00k · 5454.545455 @ 0.550
BUY·1d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?
-$3.00k · 6818.181819 @ 0.440
BUY·1d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
-$3.00k · 8333.333334 @ 0.360
BUY·1d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Juventus FC vs. NEC end in a draw?
+$222.22 · 2222.22222 @ 0.900
BUY·1d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
+$564.10 · 2564.102563 @ 0.780
BUY·1d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?
+$702.09 · 2700.36 @ 0.740
BUY·1d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
+$702.70 · 2702.702703 @ 0.740
BUY·1d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
+$380.95 · 2380.952381 @ 0.840
BUY·2d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?
+$3.67k · 6666.666667 @ 0.450
BUY·3d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
-$2.00k · 2990.579284 @ 0.669
BUY·3d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
+$3.82k · 6818.181819 @ 0.440
BUY·4d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will CA Banfield win on 2026-09-14?
+$564.84 · 2564.838608 @ 0.780
BUY·4d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
-$3.00k · 8108.108109 @ 0.370
BUY·5d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?
-$67.60 · 111 @ 0.609
BUY·5d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?
-$3.00k · 14285.714286 @ 0.210
BUY·5d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?
-$3.00k · 5454.545455 @ 0.550
BUY·5d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?
-$821.94 · 2322.24 @ 0.354
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?
+$514.93 · 2514.925 @ 0.795
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-13?
-$3.00k · 9677.419355 @ 0.310
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-12?
+$100.36 · 2100.364575 @ 0.952
SELL·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
São Paulo FC on Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
+$73.16 · 819.67 @ 0.089
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
São Paulo FC on Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
-$500.00 · 819.672132 @ 0.610
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Over on SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5
-$500.00 · 1063.829788 @ 0.470
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will FC Lorient win on 2026-09-12?
+$631.58 · 2631.578945 @ 0.760
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Yes on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?
+$81.40 · 581.395342 @ 0.860
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Sunderland AFC on Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
-$500.00 · 724.85507 @ 0.690
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-09-12?
+$777.78 · 2777.777778 @ 0.720
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Athletic Club on Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
-$500.00 · 1111.111112 @ 0.450
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-12?
+$2.23k · 3225.806452 @ 0.310
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-12?
-$2.00k · 2824.31042 @ 0.708
BUY·6d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-12?
+$941.18 · 2941.176471 @ 0.680
BUY·7d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Yes on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?
-$500.00 · 781.25 @ 0.640
BUY·7d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Over on Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5
-$500.00 · 574.712638 @ 0.870
BUY·7d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Chelsea FC on Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
-$500.00 · 833.333332 @ 0.600
BUY·7d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Over on BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 0.5
+$10.20 · 510.20405 @ 0.980
BUY·7d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-12?
+$1.22k · 2222.222223 @ 0.450
BUY·7d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?
-$1000.00 · 2272.727273 @ 0.440
BUY·7d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-12?
+$562.50 · 1562.5 @ 0.640
SELL·8d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Yes on Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
3.7 @ 0.530
BUY·8d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
Yes on Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
3.703704 @ 0.540
BUY·8d agostale·0x840d…45b2why? →
No on Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?
+$1.00k · 2000 @ 0.500
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.