No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 4115.412006 @ 0.729
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1M
1mDream
All-time PnL
$4.90k
Win rate
55.6%
56 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$233.52
30d PnL
-$333.33
30d trades
27
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$43.4k
Category edge
Sports
64.0%
+11.0pp
n=25
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
59.3% (16 wins / 11 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 16 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 13-day series
$5.90k
-$3.63k
Trading pattern
Politics Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Politics 72%
Why Politics Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 72% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Politics specialist.
Directional bias: +0.02 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $715 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.48 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $714.60 · p90 $4.00k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 13:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 2186.38 @ 0.380
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 4636.575495 @ 0.776
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 3341.98 @ 0.580
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 416.940084 @ 0.480
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 11839.32 @ 0.005
Yes on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 5125.493457 @ 0.800
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1113.99 @ 0.622
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1318.6 @ 0.468
No on Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 769.81 @ 0.844
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 3764.583678 @ 0.797
No on Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 769.81 @ 0.921
Yes on Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 37500 @ 0.002
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 17000 @ 0.986
Yes on Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 12500 @ 0.015
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 300 @ 0.819
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 2476.704582 @ 0.020
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1136.905554 @ 0.616
No on Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1539.628938 @ 0.650
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 341.115332 @ 0.586
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 9362.624 @ 0.002
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 2648.6 @ 0.973
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 565.795 @ 0.566
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 2108.712277 @ 0.142
Yes on Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 50000 @ 0.012
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1088.329665 @ 0.551
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 3165.714418 @ 0.126
Yes on Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$1.72k · 53030.3 @ 0.032
Yes on Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
— -$1.12k · 2000 @ 0.440
Yes on Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
— +$1.00k · 2000 @ 0.500
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 2549.53 @ 0.878
Yes on Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$3.50k · 53030.303029 @ 0.066
Yes on Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
— +$3.26k · 9890 @ 0.330
Yes on Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
— -$9.00k · 9890.109889 @ 0.910
Yes on Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
— -$1.15k · 3846.15 @ 0.700
Yes on Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
— +$1.85k · 3846.153845 @ 0.520
Yes on Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
— -$73.02 · 5263 @ 0.986
Yes on Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
— +$263.16 · 5263.15788 @ 0.950
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 500 @ 0.878
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1202.611101 @ 0.832
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 274.6 @ 0.447
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1202.163446 @ 0.832
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 232.8 @ 0.501
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 514.423071 @ 0.832
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 710.4 @ 0.532
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1802.88519 @ 0.832
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 3610.815708 @ 0.831
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1201.741289 @ 0.832
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 4387.82 @ 0.848
Yes on Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 30000 @ 0.041
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.