Yes on Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
— 13.32 @ 0.660
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SI
SidFromIceAge
All-time PnL
-$0.40
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$2.61k
Signal hit rate
n=1 signal — too few to judge⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
World-Leaningsell-heavysmall-sizeSell-leaning · World 41%
Why World-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 41% of categorized trades — a lean toward World without full specialization.
Directional bias: -0.98 (sell-heavy) — Mostly sells outcomes — tends to fade/short rather than back them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.52 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $20 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.88 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 52¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $20.34 · p90 $60.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 00:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 200 @ 0.600
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
— 200 @ 0.320
No on Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?
— 10.58 @ 0.894
Yes on Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
— 59.19 @ 0.320
No on Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
— 75 @ 0.900
No on Will Cody Johnson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
— 150 @ 0.254
No on Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?
— 14 @ 0.660
No on Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?
— 6 @ 0.740
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
— 6.66 @ 0.090
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
— 6.666667 @ 0.150
Yes on Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
— 121 @ 0.370
Yes on Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
— 100 @ 0.473
No on EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?
— 25 @ 0.520
No on EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?
— 50 @ 0.530
Yes on Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?
— 7.4 @ 0.750
Yes on Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?
— 20 @ 0.750
Yes on Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?
— 10.56 @ 0.750
Yes on Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?
— 37.04 @ 0.750
Yes on EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?
— 75 @ 0.700
Yes on Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
— 29 @ 0.310
Yes on Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
— 5 @ 0.310
No on Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
— 98 @ 0.290
No on Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
— 52 @ 0.390
Yes on Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
— 45 @ 0.310
Yes on Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?
— 75 @ 0.034
No on Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
— 5.7 @ 0.820
No on Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
— 39.3 @ 0.820
No on Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
— 30 @ 0.837
No on Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
— 132.36 @ 0.500
No on Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
— 45 @ 0.510
No on Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
— 122.64 @ 0.510
No on Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
— 150 @ 0.030
Yes on Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
— 145 @ 0.110
Yes on Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
— 30 @ 0.120
Yes on Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
— 50 @ 0.160
Yes on Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
— 100 @ 0.497
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 58.6 @ 0.880
No on Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
— 75 @ 0.350
Yes on Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 9 @ 0.170
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 85 @ 0.410
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 115 @ 0.423
Yes on Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
— 150 @ 0.055
No on Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
— 10.12 @ 0.240
No on Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
— 10 @ 0.250
No on Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
— 10 @ 0.270
No on Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
— 20 @ 0.270
No on Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 8.07 @ 0.670
No on Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 24.96 @ 0.670
No on Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 86.97 @ 0.670
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.