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0x81d1…4806

0x81d1…4806polymarket ↗last active 32m ago
All-time PnL
$117.35
Win rate
54.3%
54 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.98
30d PnL
$44.91
30d trades
100
30d wins
25
25.0%
30d volume
$37.8k
Category edge
Sports
47.4%
-4.9pp
n=95

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
47.4% (45 wins / 50 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 34 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 6-day series
$1.35k
-$168.30
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.14 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.62Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $305Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.76 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 62¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $305.30 · p90 $863.18
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 19:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·32m ago·0x81d1…4806why? →
TYLOO on Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - CN League Stage 2 Group Stage
272.94 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x81d1…4806why? →
Team Falcons VEGA on Valorant: Team Falcons VEGA vs Gen.G GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Pacific Playoffs
746.565314 @ 0.762
BUY·1h ago·0x81d1…4806why? →
TNC Pro Team on Mobile Legends Bang Bang: TNC Pro Team vs AP.Bren (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season
272.0136 @ 0.735
BUY·2h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
TYLOO on Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - CN League Stage 2 Group Stage
272.943331 @ 0.725
SELL·11h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$0.98 · 977.07 @ 0.999
BUY·13h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$333.15 · 977.075 @ 0.659
SELL·13h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
-$0.65 · 650.03 @ 0.999
BUY·17h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
+$227.51 · 650.030768 @ 0.650
BUY·19h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
magic on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$96.64 · 311.741936 @ 0.310
SELL·19h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$28.42 · 236.85 @ 0.880
SELL·19h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
-$0.33 · 329.43 @ 0.999
BUY·21h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
+$133.39 · 329.425 @ 0.595
BUY·21h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$139.74 · 236.853659 @ 0.410
BUY·21h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
RRQ Hoshi on Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season
-$197.39 · 338.627026 @ 0.583
BUY·22h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
-$58.78 · 101.344828 @ 0.580
SELL·22h agoageing·0x81d1…4806why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
-$99.84 · 161.71 @ 0.383
BUY·1d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
+$64.69 · 161.716667 @ 0.600
BUY·3d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
FORZE Reload on Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs UPGRADE (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
-$8.79 · 13.734375 @ 0.640
BUY·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
BIG on LoL: BIG vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
-$2.94 · 4.666667 @ 0.630
BUY·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Nemiga on Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Color (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Playoffs
1380.34776 @ 0.670
SELL·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
BIG on LoL: BIG vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
+$958.36 · 1437.04 @ 0.667
BUY·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
BIG on LoL: BIG vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
-$954.06 · 1437.049702 @ 0.664
SELL·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
BET-M 33 on Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner
-$3.07 · 307.33 @ 0.990
BUY·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
BET-M 33 on Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner
+$110.82 · 307.335077 @ 0.639
BUY·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Dplus KIA Challengers on LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
-$97.78 · 182.606 @ 0.535
SELL·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
KT Rolster Challengers on LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
-$241.77 · 503.69 @ 0.520
BUY·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
KT Rolster Challengers on LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
+$209.78 · 503.691187 @ 0.584
SELL·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
KT Rolster Challengers on LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
-$257.33 · 1279.15 @ 0.799
BUY·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
KT Rolster Challengers on LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
+$511.66 · 1279.15 @ 0.600
SELL·4d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Team Nemesis on Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B
-$0.78 · 784.15 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Team Nemesis on Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B
+$282.30 · 784.15625 @ 0.640
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
-$0.51 · 511.6 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
+$53.99 · 511.60555 @ 0.894
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
FlyQuest on LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
-$0.45 · 452.5 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
FlyQuest on LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
+$217.20 · 452.5 @ 0.520
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
M80 on Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs M80 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
-$0.24 · 241.41 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
M80 on Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs M80 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
+$48.38 · 241.4125 @ 0.800
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Metizport on Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Playoffs
-$0.19 · 193.56 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Metizport on Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Playoffs
+$55.18 · 193.561644 @ 0.715
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
HOTU on Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs HOTU (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs
+$147.64 · 678.01 @ 0.218
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
HOTU on Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs HOTU (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs
-$429.33 · 678.015946 @ 0.633
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
M80 on Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
-$0.44 · 437.62 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
M80 on Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
+$131.29 · 437.62857 @ 0.700
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
FunPlus Phoenix on Valorant: KeepBest Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
-$3.15 · 314.84 @ 0.990
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
FunPlus Phoenix on Valorant: KeepBest Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
+$122.45 · 314.849205 @ 0.611
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
+$196.22 · 196.42 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
-$68.75 · 196.428572 @ 0.350
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
G2 on Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
+$74.28 · 1349.24 @ 0.055
BUY·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
G2 on Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
-$384.28 · 1349.24138 @ 0.285
SELL·5d agostale·0x81d1…4806why? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
-$151.65 · 555.34 @ 0.727
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.