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MA

matao

0x80a8…b58bpolymarket ↗last active 26m ago
All-time PnL
-$768.66
Win rate
32.2%
32 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$8.54
30d PnL
-$768.66
30d trades
100
30d wins
29
29.0%
30d volume
$5.51k
Category edge
Sports
33.7%
-20.8pp
n=95

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
33.7% (32 wins / 63 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 2 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 6-day series
$43.15
-$759.44
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.96 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.38Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $59Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.80 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 38¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $59.30 · p90 $119.85
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 08:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·26m ago·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
176.25 @ 0.680
BUY·26m ago·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20?
184.6 @ 0.650
BUY·32m ago·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20?
652.173914 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
FC Bayern München on Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
+$46.67 · 166.666667 @ 0.720
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
No on Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18?
-$60.00 · 75 @ 0.800
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$94.27 · 214.25 @ 0.560
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
No on Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$60.00 · 93.75 @ 0.640
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
No on Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?
+$21.06 · 81 @ 0.740
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will FC Groningen win on 2026-09-18?
+$33.75 · 93.75 @ 0.640
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-09-18?
-$59.85 · 95 @ 0.630
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
No on Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-09-18?
+$10.56 · 70.4 @ 0.850
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-09-18?
-$59.95 · 109 @ 0.550
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 1 Elche CF?
-$19.89 · 153 @ 0.130
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 1 Elche CF?
-$19.89 · 153 @ 0.130
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 2 - 1 Elche CF?
-$39.93 · 363 @ 0.110
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: AC Monza 1 - 2 US Sassuolo Calcio?
-$19.98 · 222 @ 0.090
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: AC Monza 3 - 2 US Sassuolo Calcio?
-$19.84 · 658.161291 @ 0.030
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Bristol City FC 2 - 1 Watford FC?
-$39.93 · 363 @ 0.110
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Bristol City FC 2 - 0 Watford FC?
-$40.00 · 400 @ 0.100
BUY·1d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$156.06 · 306 @ 0.490
BUY·2d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Málaga CF 2 - 2 Villarreal CF?
-$20.00 · 285.714286 @ 0.070
BUY·2d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Málaga CF 1 - 1 Villarreal CF?
-$40.00 · 333.333334 @ 0.120
SELL·2d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?
133.2 @ 0.381
BUY·2d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 3 - 0 Getafe CF?
-$20.00 · 273.416892 @ 0.073
BUY·2d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
+$122.58 · 322.580644 @ 0.620
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
No on Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?
-$119.37 · 173 @ 0.690
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?
133.2 @ 0.450
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
No on Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-16?
+$24.36 · 84 @ 0.710
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
No on Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-16?
+$28.16 · 88 @ 0.680
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?
-$59.94 · 111 @ 0.540
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
+$24.36 · 84 @ 0.710
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-16?
-$59.89 · 113 @ 0.530
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: RSC Anderlecht 3 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?
-$20.00 · 630.395625 @ 0.032
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Coventry City FC 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
-$20.00 · 250 @ 0.080
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: RSC Anderlecht 2 - 0 Olympique Lyonnais?
-$19.98 · 416.25 @ 0.048
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?
-$19.95 · 712.5 @ 0.028
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 1 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?
-$19.89 · 153 @ 0.130
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: AS Omónoia Leukosías 1 - 1 RC Celta de Vigo?
-$19.95 · 142.5 @ 0.140
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: LDU de Quito 1 - 1 SE Palmeiras?
-$20.00 · 128.625 @ 0.155
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 3 - 1 AZ?
-$19.95 · 285 @ 0.070
BUY·3d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 3 - 0 AZ?
-$20.00 · 250 @ 0.080
BUY·4d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: Draw at halftime?
-$100.00 · 196.078432 @ 0.510
SELL·4d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
+$58.85 · 107 @ 0.550
BUY·4d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-09-08?
-$119.99 · 184.6 @ 0.650
BUY·4d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
-$59.92 · 107 @ 0.560
BUY·4d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Johor Darul Ta'zim 2 - 1 Buriram United?
-$19.91 · 181 @ 0.110
BUY·5d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
No on Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-09-15?
-$100.00 · 169.491526 @ 0.590
BUY·5d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
-$19.95 · 285 @ 0.070
BUY·5d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
-$19.91 · 181 @ 0.110
BUY·5d agostale·0x80a8…b58bwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3 - 1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?
-$20.00 · 400 @ 0.050
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.