Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 238.09 @ 0.840
← leaderboard
LA
laidaodao
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$14.2k
Trading pattern
Politics-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Politics 56%
Why Politics-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 56% of categorized trades — a lean toward Politics without full specialization.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.74 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $200 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.55 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 74¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $199.99 · p90 $200.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Wed 07:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 205.76 @ 0.972
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
— 202.63 @ 0.987
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 291.56 @ 0.580
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
— 202.63 @ 0.987
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 238.09 @ 0.840
No on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 205.76 @ 0.972
No on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 205.12 @ 0.975
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 344.82 @ 0.580
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
— 39 @ 0.986
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 238.09 @ 0.840
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 344.82 @ 0.580
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
— 203.04 @ 0.985
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 238.09 @ 0.840
No on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 205.12 @ 0.975
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
— 203.04 @ 0.985
No on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 204.91 @ 0.976
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 238.09 @ 0.840
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 344.82 @ 0.580
No on Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
— 160.93 @ 0.900
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 344.82 @ 0.580
No on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 204.91 @ 0.976
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
— 51.52 @ 0.982
Yes on Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
— 158.5 @ 0.400
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 238.09 @ 0.840
No on Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
— 222.22 @ 0.900
Yes on Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
— 47.47 @ 0.983
No on Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
— 92.5 @ 0.940
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 344.82 @ 0.580
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
— 97.29 @ 0.980
Yes on Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
— 434.68 @ 0.398
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 238.09 @ 0.840
No on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 204.7 @ 0.977
No on Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 27.33 @ 0.982
Yes on Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
— 11 @ 0.182
No on Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
— 72.06 @ 0.930
No on Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
— 142.27 @ 0.957
Yes on Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
— 203.45 @ 0.983
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
— 148.09 @ 0.930
Yes on Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
— 139.72 @ 0.900
No on Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
— 222.22 @ 0.900
No on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 204.7 @ 0.977
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 344.82 @ 0.580
No on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
— 204.08 @ 0.980
Yes on Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
— 502.51 @ 0.398
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 238.09 @ 0.840
Yes on 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
— 9.19 @ 0.390
Yes on Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
— 13.75 @ 0.984
No on Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
— 10 @ 0.998
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
— 5.62 @ 0.770
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.