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urloss

0x7f4a…afd7polymarket ↗last active 15m ago
All-time PnL
$3.36k
Win rate
33.7%
34 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$34.31
30d PnL
$3.36k
30d trades
100
30d wins
33
33.0%
30d volume
$25.1k
Category edge
Crypto
29.3%
-23.0pp
n=75
Sports
47.8%
-6.0pp
n=23

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
33.7% (33 wins / 65 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 18 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$3.36k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 76%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 76% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.58 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.41Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $200Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.95 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 41¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $200.00 · p90 $627.84
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 10:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·15m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
252.38 @ 0.376
BUY·17m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
-$40.00 · 285.714284 @ 0.140
BUY·18m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
-$80.00 · 307.692306 @ 0.260
SELL·18m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
-$147.27 · 775.11 @ 0.810
BUY·21m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
+$455.11 · 775.11 @ 0.413
SELL·23m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
-$37.46 · 374.59 @ 0.900
BUY·24m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
+$264.59 · 374.590332 @ 0.294
BUY·30m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$8.80 · 11.434781 @ 0.230
BUY·31m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$703.79 · 1075.75 @ 0.346
BUY·31m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$22.07 · 34.952701 @ 0.369
BUY·33m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
-$80.00 · 612.787856 @ 0.131
BUY·45m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Yes on Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
2173.913042 @ 0.230
BUY·51m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
-$173.71 · 401.462726 @ 0.433
BUY·51m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
-$306.29 · 757.27 @ 0.404
BUY·55m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
-$208.16 · 775.82 @ 0.268
BUY·55m ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
-$71.84 · 241.277665 @ 0.298
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
-$200.00 · 485.233952 @ 0.412
SELL·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$105.08 · 397.72 @ 0.264
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$25.00 · 202.726152 @ 0.123
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$56.51 · 195 @ 0.290
SELL·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$92.77 · 379.18 @ 0.755
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$179.18 · 379.181817 @ 0.527
SELL·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
-$14.37 · 1436.66 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$600.47 · 895.22 @ 0.329
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$336.19 · 541.440511 @ 0.379
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$170.00 · 504.991141 @ 0.337
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$310.00 · 596.87714 @ 0.519
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
-$90.00 · 373.3788 @ 0.241
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
-$210.00 · 567.567566 @ 0.370
SELL·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
-$313.38 · 329.87 @ 0.050
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
+$249.87 · 329.872961 @ 0.243
SELL·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
-$0.39 · 391.61 @ 0.999
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5
-$40.00 · 89.413332 @ 0.447
BUY·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5
-$100.00 · 257.069407 @ 0.389
SELL·1h ago·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5
-$0.65 · 648.44 @ 0.999
BUY·2h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5
+$6.09 · 11.086473 @ 0.451
BUY·2h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5
+$347.36 · 637.362636 @ 0.455
BUY·2h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
+$2.79 · 6.491227 @ 0.570
BUY·2h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
+$76.56 · 181.563447 @ 0.578
BUY·2h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
+$83.56 · 203.562031 @ 0.590
SELL·2h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5
-$0.63 · 633 @ 0.999
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
Over on Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5
+$538.33 · 633.333332 @ 0.150
BUY·6h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
9z on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
-$288.00 · 872.727271 @ 0.330
SELL·6h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
-$0.39 · 388.05 @ 0.999
SELL·7h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
9z on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
+$103.89 · 203.7 @ 0.510
BUY·7h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
+$128.06 · 388.0597 @ 0.670
SELL·7h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
9z on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
-$0.65 · 648.64 @ 0.999
BUY·9h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
9z on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
-$5.00 · 18.518517 @ 0.270
BUY·9h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
9z on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
+$408.65 · 648.648647 @ 0.370
BUY·9h agoageing·0x7f4a…afd7why? →
9z on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
-$50.00 · 185.185184 @ 0.270
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.