No on Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?
— 1592.8 @ 0.953
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LU
LucasMeow
All-time PnL
$14.7k
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$271.54
30d PnL
$3.76k
30d trades
23
30d wins
7
30.4%
30d volume
$275.3k
Category edge
Crypto
100.0%
+36.8pp
n=69
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
100.0% (71 wins / 0 misses)Cumulative PnL · 26-day series
$14.7k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavywhalefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 98%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 98% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.98 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.96 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $7,591 — Large typical stake (≥$5k) — a whale-sized footprint.
Sizing consistency: CV 2.87 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 96¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $7.59k · p90 $45.1k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 23:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?
— 6533.16 @ 0.985
No on Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?
— 2222.19 @ 0.992
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?
— 519 @ 0.992
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?
— 11205.5 @ 0.991
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?
— 8065.44 @ 0.991
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
— 6612.79 @ 0.980
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?
— 2148.1 @ 0.989
No on Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
— 1697.19 @ 0.950
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 2606.14 @ 0.959
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 628.04 @ 0.950
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 5133.23 @ 0.920
No on Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
— +$20.88 · 1560.83 @ 0.987
No on Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
— +$227.30 · 12627.84 @ 0.982
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
— +$11.37 · 660 @ 0.983
No on Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
— +$383.59 · 13227.24 @ 0.971
No on Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
— +$43.48 · 3952.66 @ 0.989
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
— +$321.02 · 20063.74 @ 0.984
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
— +$321.26 · 26771.7 @ 0.988
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?
— +$432.27 · 43227 @ 0.990
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?
— +$402.91 · 18314.09 @ 0.978
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
— +$1.29k · 75821.69 @ 0.983
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
— +$302.94 · 15031.85 @ 0.980
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
— 669.01 @ 0.578
No on Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
— +$185.35 · 22628.17 @ 0.992
No on Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
— +$382.01 · 21132.07 @ 0.982
No on Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?
— +$286.15 · 5294.99 @ 0.946
No on Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?
— +$29.08 · 1922.43 @ 0.985
No on Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?
— +$17.37 · 2472.04 @ 0.993
No on Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?
— +$72.27 · 24088.73 @ 0.997
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?
— +$0.48 · 120.76 @ 0.996
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?
— +$3.40 · 680.27 @ 0.995
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
— +$112.53 · 18754.7 @ 0.994
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
— +$13.92 · 1739.5 @ 0.992
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?
— +$17.88 · 2916.27 @ 0.994
No on Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?
— +$13.14 · 2628.52 @ 0.995
Yes on Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
— +$300.00 · 300000 @ 0.999
No on Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
— 96.62 @ 0.923
No on Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
— 535.91 @ 0.923
Yes on Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
— +$13.20 · 30 @ 0.560
No on Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
— +$10.99 · 3662.36 @ 0.997
No on Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
— +$23.16 · 11578.04 @ 0.998
No on Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?
— +$46.68 · 23341.03 @ 0.998
No on Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?
— +$14.40 · 4800 @ 0.997
No on Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?
— +$14.66 · 7329.84 @ 0.998
No on Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?
— +$6.62 · 2961.21 @ 0.998
No on Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
— +$700.13 · 116689.16 @ 0.994
No on Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
— 2413.08 @ 0.928
No on Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
— 396.45 @ 0.922
No on Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
— 729.68 @ 0.922
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.