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EL

elusivo

0x7f00…50f2polymarket ↗last active 7m ago
All-time PnL
-$110.73
Win rate
42.3%
22 of 52
Total trades
52
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.13
30d PnL
-$39.44
30d trades
50
30d wins
22
44.0%
30d volume
$17.7k
Category edge
Sports
18.2%
-39.1pp
n=11
Crypto
48.8%
-31.5pp
n=41

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.3% (22 wins / 30 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 16 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 10-day series
$116.79
-$452.11
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 79%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 52 trades
Category focus: Crypto 79% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.38 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.76Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $283Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.82 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 76¢ · 52 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $282.90 · p90 $749.82
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 16:00 · 52 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·7m ago·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
-$8.09 · 808.97 @ 0.990
BUY·8m ago·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
+$108.98 · 808.975954 @ 0.865
SELL·17m ago·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
-$7.50 · 750.24 @ 0.990
BUY·19m ago·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
+$50.24 · 750.240946 @ 0.933
SELL·1h ago·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
-$0.95 · 948.7 @ 0.999
BUY·1h ago·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
+$198.70 · 948.700624 @ 0.791
SELL·1h ago·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
-$8.02 · 801.96 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
+$52.14 · 801.96 @ 0.935
BUY·1h ago·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
-$400.00 · 1021.090651 @ 0.392
SELL·3h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
-$4.35 · 434.78 @ 0.990
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$34.78 · 434.7826 @ 0.920
SELL·3h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
-$9.56 · 477.96 @ 0.980
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
+$77.97 · 477.966 @ 0.837
SELL·3h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
-$4.84 · 483.71 @ 0.990
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
+$83.72 · 483.716306 @ 0.827
SELL·4h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
-$4.17 · 416.66 @ 0.990
BUY·4h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
+$16.67 · 416.666665 @ 0.960
SELL·4h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
-$7.56 · 756.04 @ 0.990
BUY·4h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$156.04 · 756.041726 @ 0.794
SELL·5h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
-$8.63 · 862.5 @ 0.990
BUY·5h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
+$172.50 · 862.5 @ 0.800
BUY·5h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
+$22.11 · 35.71 @ 0.381
BUY·5h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
+$128.10 · 698.096543 @ 0.817
SELL·6h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
-$0.57 · 574.88 @ 0.999
BUY·6h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
+$44.89 · 574.888485 @ 0.922
BUY·6h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
+$44.70 · 534.698716 @ 0.916
BUY·7h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
-$235.00 · 278.056113 @ 0.845
SELL·7h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
-$2.42 · 241.6 @ 0.990
BUY·7h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
+$6.61 · 241.60855 @ 0.973
BUY·7h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
-$250.00 · 25000 @ 0.010
BUY·8h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
-$50.00 · 90.909088 @ 0.550
BUY·8h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
-$90.00 · 109.277105 @ 0.824
SELL·8h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
-$0.94 · 94.02 @ 0.990
BUY·8h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
+$4.03 · 94.02645 @ 0.957
BUY·8h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
+$13.07 · 103.067041 @ 0.873
SELL·8h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
-$1.94 · 96.77 @ 0.980
BUY·8h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
+$6.77 · 96.774192 @ 0.930
BUY·9h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$32.45 · 122.44635 @ 0.735
BUY·9h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
-$7.00 · 13.725489 @ 0.510
BUY·9h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
-$55.00 · 968.80875 @ 0.057
BUY·9h agoageing·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$16.33 · 65.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·7d agostale·0x7f00…50f2why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
-$97.31 · 405.458332 @ 0.240
BUY·8d agostale·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Spirit on Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
-$48.99 · 166.003665 @ 0.295
BUY·8d agostale·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Spirit on Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
-$98.15 · 245.375 @ 0.400
BUY·9d agostale·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Team Falcons on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
-$97.33 · 313.96774 @ 0.310
SELL·13d agostale·0x7f00…50f2why? →
G2 on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
-$3.19 · 319 @ 0.990
BUY·13d agostale·0x7f00…50f2why? →
G2 on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
+$223.30 · 319 @ 0.300
BUY·15d agostale·0x7f00…50f2why? →
9z on Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
-$58.68 · 122.25 @ 0.480
SELL·16d agostale·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Spirit on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
-$0.06 · 60.71 @ 0.999
BUY·16d agostale·0x7f00…50f2why? →
Spirit on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
+$26.71 · 60.714284 @ 0.560
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.