Yes on Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 282.02 @ 0.270
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LT
lthasd
All-time PnL
-$497.78
Win rate
41.5%
41 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$12.14
30d PnL
-$497.78
30d trades
100
30d wins
17
17.0%
30d volume
$4.96k
Category edge
Sports
47.0%
-2.8pp
n=66
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
45.6% (31 wins / 37 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 3-day series
$196.36
-$505.60
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 78%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 78% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.34 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.53 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $21 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.44 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 53¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $20.57 · p90 $104.51
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 23:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 58.88 @ 0.900
No on Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?
— 30 @ 0.985
No on Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?
— 20 @ 0.984
$3,000 on Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
— 19 @ 0.800
No on Will BNK FEARX Qualify for Worlds 2026?
— 20.1 @ 0.998
No on Will kt Rolster Qualify for Worlds 2026?
— 18.54 @ 0.995
No on Will Fnatic Qualify for Worlds 2026?
— 42 @ 0.991
No on Will Relove Deep Cross Gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026?
— 100 @ 0.990
No on Will Team Secret Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?
— 5.29 @ 0.992
No on Will Team Secret Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?
— 14.15 @ 0.996
No on Will Wuxi Titan Esports Club Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?
— 19.67 @ 0.982
No on Will LEVIATÁN Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?
— 106.62 @ 0.980
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
— 50 @ 0.940
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?
— 91 @ 0.900
No on Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
— 30 @ 0.750
Yes on Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?
— 100 @ 0.408
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner
— 35 @ 0.570
Sentinels on Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)
— 800 @ 0.530
No on Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?
— 94.77 @ 0.981
No on Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?
— 5.23 @ 0.982
Natus Vincere on Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
— +$2.00 · 20 @ 0.100
Natus Vincere on Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
— +$5.46 · 10.5 @ 0.520
Natus Vincere on Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
— +$22.80 · 40 @ 0.570
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
— +$186.48 · 296.26 @ 0.371
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner
— +$20.00 · 50 @ 0.600
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
— +$12.00 · 100 @ 0.880
No on Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?
— 50 @ 0.960
Yes on Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 146.05 @ 0.300
Natus Vincere on Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
— -$362.10 · 670.55 @ 0.540
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?
— 50 @ 0.987
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
— +$327.60 · 520 @ 0.630
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
— -$69.70 · 170 @ 0.410
Yes on Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 60 @ 0.300
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
— -$205.00 · 500 @ 0.410
No on Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?
— 200 @ 0.786
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
— -$164.00 · 400 @ 0.410
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
— -$123.00 · 300 @ 0.410
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
— -$204.00 · 400 @ 0.510
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
— -$100.00 · 199.408824 @ 0.501
Under on Lions vs. Bills: O/U 66.5
— -$56.10 · 110 @ 0.510
No on Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17?
— -$16.50 · 150 @ 0.890
Under on CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5
— -$18.90 · 30 @ 0.630
No on CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle: Both Teams to Score
— -$7.00 · 10 @ 0.700
No on Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17?
— +$48.00 · 150 @ 0.680
No on Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17?
— +$222.00 · 300 @ 0.260
No on 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
— 100 @ 0.410
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
— -$3.90 · 10 @ 0.390
eSuba on LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs
— -$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
No on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?
— -$10.00 · 100 @ 0.100
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.