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0x7b5fB7C7C989deDdc2b123E4Ffc5c6eCaB6eCE93-1765537742216

0x7b5f…ce93polymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
-$845.91
Win rate
44.4%
22 of 50
Total trades
50
Avg PnL / trade
-$32.45
30d PnL
-$656.12
30d trades
21
30d wins
3
14.3%
30d volume
$3.65k
Category edge
Crypto
36.7%
-18.6pp
n=30
Weather
27.3%
-8.0pp
n=11

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
37.0% (17 wins / 29 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 8-day series
$165.13
-$1.38k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 68%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 50 trades
Category focus: Crypto 68% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.56 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.56Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.67 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 56¢ · 50 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $206.61
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 15:00 · 50 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·22m ago·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
131.57 @ 0.990
BUY·22m ago·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
238 @ 0.420
BUY·25m ago·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
195.098077 @ 0.513
BUY·25m ago·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
131.578945 @ 0.760
BUY·31m ago·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
-$100.00 · 324.155625 @ 0.308
BUY·31m ago·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
-$100.00 · 243.90244 @ 0.410
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
+$69.49 · 169.491526 @ 0.590
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 223.539788 @ 0.447
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 230.641364 @ 0.434
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
-$100.00 · 497.943334 @ 0.201
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
-$100.00 · 233.181819 @ 0.429
SELL·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
+$10.96 · 58.13 @ 0.189
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
-$25.00 · 58.139535 @ 0.430
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
+$1.25 · 6.25 @ 0.800
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
+$90.27 · 190.273585 @ 0.526
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
+$93.60 · 193.596154 @ 0.517
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
-$100.00 · 298.864706 @ 0.335
BUY·3h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
+$95.96 · 195.963654 @ 0.510
BUY·4h agoageing·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
-$25.00 · 166.666667 @ 0.150
SELL·3d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
+$892.21 · 8922.07 @ 0.100
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
-$1.16k · 8922.076924 @ 0.130
BUY·136d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?
-$4.89 · 425.633635 @ 0.011
BUY·136d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?
-$40.00 · 5033.41 @ 0.008
BUY·136d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 7?
-$40.00 · 1256.769544 @ 0.032
BUY·143d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
-$300.00 · 350.349766 @ 0.856
SELL·143d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?
-$0.39 · 391.67 @ 0.999
BUY·145d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?
+$18.39 · 45.3734 @ 0.595
BUY·145d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?
+$146.36 · 337.69056 @ 0.567
BUY·145d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
BetBoom Team on Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
+$22.82 · 228.17823 @ 0.900
SELL·145d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
-$0.21 · 206.82 @ 0.999
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
+$28.83 · 205.953013 @ 0.860
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?
-$190.22 · 372.309913 @ 0.511
SELL·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?
-$3.14 · 381.28 @ 0.992
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?
-$1.89 · 4.113045 @ 0.460
SELL·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
-$0.16 · 2.3 @ 0.930
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
+$0.32 · 2.2787 @ 0.860
SELL·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
-$0.02 · 1.89 @ 0.990
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
+$0.89 · 1.822443 @ 0.510
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
-$27.99 · 52.398685 @ 0.534
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
-$18.89 · 30.769044 @ 0.614
SELL·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
-$0.19 · 18.91 @ 0.990
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
+$8.93 · 18.224322 @ 0.510
SELL·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$0.04 · 41.37 @ 0.999
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
+$11.74 · 40.48902 @ 0.710
SELL·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
-$0.31 · 30.99 @ 0.990
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$14.06 · 29.90461 @ 0.530
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
-$18.45 · 39.867951 @ 0.463
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
-$9.64 · 12.853352 @ 0.750
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?
+$184.79 · 371.5635 @ 0.503
BUY·146d agostale·0x7b5f…ce93why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
-$0.86 · 85.744 @ 0.010
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.