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0x7b4597481f28105146EbeeAE66354d7E1353bA8b-1780533789177

0x7b45…ba8bpolymarket ↗last active 18m ago
All-time PnL
-$410.87
Win rate
62.3%
62 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$7.75
30d PnL
-$410.87
30d trades
100
30d wins
33
33.0%
30d volume
$13.6k
Category edge
Sports
60.4%
+9.4pp
n=91

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
60.4% (55 wins / 36 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 14 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 14-day series
$1.24k
-$995.73
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.66 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $82Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.84 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $82.06 · p90 $329.60
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 02:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·18m ago·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
284 @ 0.730
BUY·20m ago·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
515 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
515 @ 0.370
BUY·1h ago·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
515 @ 0.370
BUY·1h ago·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
515 @ 0.370
BUY·1h ago·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
515 @ 0.370
BUY·1h ago·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
515 @ 0.370
BUY·7h agoageing·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Lisa Pigato on Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
+$378.72 · 526 @ 0.280
BUY·7h agoageing·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Lisa Pigato on Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
+$7.30 · 10 @ 0.270
BUY·1d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
-$91.80 · 510 @ 0.180
BUY·2d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$290.64 · 548.382979 @ 0.470
BUY·2d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Minnesota Twins on New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
+$283.25 · 515 @ 0.450
BUY·2d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Lloyd Harris on Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris
-$329.60 · 515 @ 0.640
BUY·2d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Lloyd Harris on Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris
-$329.60 · 515 @ 0.640
BUY·2d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Hanwha Eagles on KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles
386 @ 0.110
BUY·2d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Hanwha Eagles on KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles
300 @ 0.120
BUY·2d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
-$270.40 · 416 @ 0.650
BUY·2d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$272.95 · 515 @ 0.530
SELL·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$1.32k · 1530 @ 0.140
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$107.10 · 510 @ 0.790
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$107.10 · 510 @ 0.790
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$107.10 · 510 @ 0.790
SELL·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Leyre Romero Gormaz on Valencia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Martina Trevisan
+$143.77 · 515 @ 0.279
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Leyre Romero Gormaz on Valencia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Martina Trevisan
-$123.60 · 515 @ 0.240
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Leyre Romero Gormaz on Valencia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Martina Trevisan
-$123.60 · 515 @ 0.240
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Diego Dedura-Palomero on Szczecin: Dusan Lajovic vs Diego Dedura-Palomero
+$82.60 · 413 @ 0.800
SELL·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Gerard Campana Lee on Biella: Gerard Campana Lee vs Carlos Taberner
-$64.34 · 183.83 @ 0.650
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Gerard Campana Lee on Biella: Gerard Campana Lee vs Carlos Taberner
+$187.29 · 560.750751 @ 0.666
SELL·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
San Francisco Giants on San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals
+$22.57 · 515 @ 0.044
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
San Francisco Giants on San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals
-$56.65 · 515 @ 0.110
BUY·3d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
+$100.64 · 182.977778 @ 0.450
BUY·4d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
+$242.05 · 515 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
-$77.85 · 526.013514 @ 0.148
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Cadence Brace on Sao Paulo Open, Qualification: Hayu Kinoshita vs Cadence Brace
+$61.20 · 510 @ 0.880
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins
+$154.59 · 594.594592 @ 0.740
SELL·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Panthers on Bears vs. Panthers
+$139.67 · 512 @ 0.273
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Panthers on Bears vs. Panthers
-$133.90 · 515 @ 0.260
SELL·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
+$211.89 · 515 @ 0.411
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
-$211.15 · 515 @ 0.410
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
+$96.00 · 177.782609 @ 0.460
SELL·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Bengals on Buccaneers vs. Bengals
-$13.97 · 93.12 @ 0.850
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Bengals on Buccaneers vs. Bengals
+$16.76 · 93.12195 @ 0.820
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Lions on Saints vs. Lions
+$68.40 · 456 @ 0.850
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Maxim Zhukov on Guangzhou: Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof
-$257.50 · 515 @ 0.500
SELL·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Maxim Zhukov on Guangzhou: Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof
+$278.10 · 515 @ 0.540
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Maxim Zhukov on Guangzhou: Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof
-$257.50 · 515 @ 0.500
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Maxim Zhukov on Guangzhou: Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof
-$247.20 · 515 @ 0.480
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Maxim Zhukov on Guangzhou: Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof
-$247.20 · 515 @ 0.480
BUY·5d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Tsung-Hao Huang on Guangzhou: Tsung-Hao Huang vs Xing Dao Chen
+$166.40 · 520 @ 0.680
SELL·6d agostale·0x7b45…ba8bwhy? →
Pittsburgh Pirates on Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
+$175.10 · 515 @ 0.340
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.