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0x78be…bde0

0x78be…bde0polymarket ↗last active 25m ago
All-time PnL
-$33.2k
Win rate
54.2%
54 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$537.46
30d PnL
-$31.7k
30d trades
100
30d wins
32
32.0%
30d volume
$302.1k
Category edge
Crypto
57.1%
+15.7pp
n=35
Sports
56.5%
+5.7pp
n=62

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
56.7% (55 wins / 42 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 2 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$0.00
-$31.7k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 65%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 65% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.96 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $1,294Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.18 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.29k · p90 $9.56k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·25m ago·0x78be…bde0why? →
Yes on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
2666.666667 @ 0.420
SELL·26m ago·0x78be…bde0why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
4843.1 @ 0.268
BUY·1h ago·0x78be…bde0why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
4843.103447 @ 0.580
BUY·1h ago·0x78be…bde0why? →
Thiago Monteiro on Szczecin: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Trungelliti
+$1.79k · 5569.82 @ 0.679
BUY·2h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Yes on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$3.56k · 6975.510205 @ 0.490
BUY·4h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Mia Pohankova on Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson
-$671.00 · 1597.738096 @ 0.420
SELL·4h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Rina Saigo on Korea Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Rina Saigo
+$700.66 · 23355.46 @ 0.030
BUY·5h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Priscilla Hon on Korea Open, Qualification: Xinxin Yao vs Priscilla Hon
-$14.0k · 26108.228889 @ 0.536
BUY·5h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Rina Saigo on Korea Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Rina Saigo
-$2.00k · 5406.805406 @ 0.370
BUY·5h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Fausto Tabacco on M25 Sintra: Giorgio Tabacco vs Fausto Tabacco
+$1.25k · 3065.59 @ 0.594
BUY·5h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Fausto Tabacco on M25 Sintra: Giorgio Tabacco vs Fausto Tabacco
+$263.75 · 576.08 @ 0.542
BUY·5h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Rina Saigo on Korea Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Rina Saigo
-$10.0k · 24057.832143 @ 0.416
BUY·13h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Sebastian Gorzny on Tiburon: J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian Gorzny
-$4.22k · 8494 @ 0.497
BUY·13h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Sebastian Gorzny on Tiburon: J.J. Wolf vs Sebastian Gorzny
-$45.50 · 100 @ 0.455
BUY·15h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
+$636.36 · 1136.363637 @ 0.440
BUY·15h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
+$1.27k · 2272.727273 @ 0.440
BUY·15h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$1.53k · 3025.854808 @ 0.496
BUY·15h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
+$6.48k · 11777.777778 @ 0.450
BUY·15h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$5.12k · 11847.12 @ 0.568
BUY·15h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Suzan Lamens on Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
-$7.70k · 19743.589744 @ 0.390
BUY·15h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Suzan Lamens on Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
-$3.29k · 6868.94 @ 0.478
BUY·16h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
-$12.28 · 38.375 @ 0.320
BUY·17h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
+$2.72k · 12913.893 @ 0.789
BUY·20h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Alina Charaeva on Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Alina Charaeva
-$5.50k · 15050.066487 @ 0.365
BUY·21h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Susan Bandecchi on Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
-$16.0k · 24492.910296 @ 0.653
BUY·22h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Kaitlin Quevedo on Sao Paulo Open: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo
+$4.84k · 11842.600832 @ 0.591
BUY·22h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Andreja Petrovic on M25 Nevers: Thomas Faurel vs Andreja Petrovic
+$1.35k · 2519.85 @ 0.465
BUY·22h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Kaitlin Quevedo on Sao Paulo Open: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo
+$1.55k · 4545.454544 @ 0.660
BUY·22h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Yes on Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$2.41k · 6333.35 @ 0.380
BUY·22h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Yes on Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$1.29k · 3394.389474 @ 0.380
BUY·22h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Yes on Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$6.30k · 16588.05 @ 0.380
BUY·22h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Yes on Will Shamrock Rovers win on 2026-09-18?
+$4.84k · 14844.99044 @ 0.674
BUY·22h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Andreja Petrovic on M25 Nevers: Thomas Faurel vs Andreja Petrovic
+$1.48k · 3294.79 @ 0.552
BUY·23h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Andreja Petrovic on M25 Nevers: Thomas Faurel vs Andreja Petrovic
+$8.23k · 11307.57 @ 0.272
BUY·23h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Irene Burillo Escorihuela on Valencia: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Alicia Herrero Linana
-$4.96k · 10473.604584 @ 0.473
BUY·23h agoageing·0x78be…bde0why? →
Irene Burillo Escorihuela on Valencia: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Alicia Herrero Linana
-$9.60k · 21502.39 @ 0.446
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Yasmine Kabbaj on Valencia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Despina Papamichail
+$3.81k · 8660.714286 @ 0.560
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Malaika Rapolu on Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson
-$10.00k · 23174.365682 @ 0.432
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Jay Clarke on Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill
+$9.06k · 19057.812076 @ 0.525
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Harold Mayot on Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh
+$3.47k · 8474.57627 @ 0.590
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Carlo Alberto Caniato on Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
+$8.82k · 15817.331778 @ 0.443
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Harold Mayot on Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh
+$7.02k · 17716.296884 @ 0.604
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Fausto Tabacco on M25 Sintra: Lui Maxted vs Fausto Tabacco
+$3.50k · 6042.209303 @ 0.421
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Petr Bar Biryukov on Guangzhou: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Petr Bar Biryukov
+$9.39k · 17391.304348 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Ipek Oz on W50 Pazardzhik: Elizara Yaneva vs Ipek Oz
-$1.57k · 3348.936171 @ 0.470
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Kristijan Juhas on M25 Zlatibor: Kristijan Juhas vs Dragos Nicolae Madaras
+$984.71 · 1678.714286 @ 0.413
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
+$204.98 · 405.34 @ 0.494
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
+$167.53 · 336.170197 @ 0.502
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
George Lazarov on M25 Zlatibor: Dusan Obradovic vs George Lazarov
+$36.98 · 70.9 @ 0.478
BUY·1d agostale·0x78be…bde0why? →
George Lazarov on M25 Zlatibor: Dusan Obradovic vs George Lazarov
+$3.48k · 5976.295455 @ 0.418
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.