No on Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
— 280 @ 0.740
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ON
OneLastHurrah
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$11.0k
Signal hit rate
n=2 signals — too few to judge⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$0.15
Trading pattern
World-Leaningsell-heavysmall-sizeSell-leaning · World 47%
Why World-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 47% of categorized trades — a lean toward World without full specialization.
Directional bias: -0.96 (sell-heavy) — Mostly sells outcomes — tends to fade/short rather than back them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.65 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $1 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.42 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 65¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $0.73 · p90 $374.20
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 03:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
— 16.19 @ 0.750
Yes on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
— 2 @ 0.670
No on Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
— 0.15 @ 0.790
No on Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
— 0.68 @ 0.500
Yes on Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
— 0.55 @ 0.460
No on Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
— 0.24 @ 0.410
No on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
— 0.73 @ 0.370
No on Cuban regime falls in 2026?
— 0.26 @ 0.870
No on Cuban regime falls in 2026?
— 990 @ 0.860
No on Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
— 212 @ 0.660
No on Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
— 786 @ 0.420
No on 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
— 0.14 @ 0.690
No on 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
— 0.16 @ 0.390
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 0.96 @ 0.880
No on 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
— 2698 @ 0.390
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
— 0.23 @ 0.550
No on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
— 0.56 @ 0.360
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 0.38 @ 0.360
No on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
— 0.41 @ 0.430
No on Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 0.22 @ 0.710
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 1869 @ 0.360
No on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
— 50 @ 0.800
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 851 @ 0.530
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
— 22 @ 0.530
No on Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 76 @ 0.710
No on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
— 93 @ 0.340
No on Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 519.72 @ 0.720
No on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
— 57.68 @ 0.350
No on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
— 699.05 @ 0.430
No on Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
— 0.86 @ 0.800
No on Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
— 0.77 @ 0.730
No on Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
— 0.5 @ 0.740
Yes on Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
— 0.84 @ 0.510
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
— 0.56 @ 0.600
No on Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?
— 2.79 @ 0.740
Yes on Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
— 0.59 @ 0.830
No on Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?
— 4.55 @ 0.710
Yes on Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
— 0.66 @ 0.860
No on US strike on Cuba by December 31?
— 1.28 @ 0.860
No on Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
— 0.94 @ 0.890
No on Cuban regime falls in 2026?
— 4.18 @ 0.860
No on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 50 @ 0.830
No on Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
— 0.5 @ 0.520
No on Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
— 0.95 @ 0.760
No on Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
— 0.14 @ 0.710
No on US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
— 0.68 @ 0.810
No on Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
— 0.44 @ 0.380
No on Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
— 132 @ 0.520
No on Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
— 445 @ 0.380
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.