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TI

Tim244

0x76b8…6aa1polymarket ↗last active 7m ago
All-time PnL
-$607.73
Win rate
45.3%
45 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$11.47
30d PnL
-$607.73
30d trades
100
30d wins
24
24.0%
30d volume
$9.72k
Category edge
Crypto
30.0%
-22.3pp
n=100

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
30.0% (30 wins / 70 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 22 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$684.38
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.38 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.35Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.63 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 35¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $189.21
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 15:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·7m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
-$24.18 · 219.84 @ 0.890
BUY·9m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$119.85 · 219.847174 @ 0.455
SELL·12m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
-$20.90 · 149.25 @ 0.860
BUY·13m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
+$49.25 · 149.25373 @ 0.670
BUY·16m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
-$10.00 · 111.111112 @ 0.090
SELL·17m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
+$83.68 · 560.17 @ 0.149
SELL·17m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
+$279.09 · 1636.81 @ 0.171
BUY·18m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
-$100.00 · 1232.444445 @ 0.081
SELL·18m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
+$47.13 · 511.92 @ 0.092
BUY·18m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
-$99.95 · 1476.46 @ 0.068
BUY·21m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 208.333334 @ 0.480
SELL·23m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
-$381.35 · 522.4 @ 0.270
BUY·24m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
+$422.41 · 522.407 @ 0.191
BUY·26m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
-$10.00 · 1000 @ 0.010
BUY·27m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
-$10.00 · 76.923077 @ 0.130
SELL·27m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
+$235.19 · 400 @ 0.588
BUY·29m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
-$100.00 · 400 @ 0.250
SELL·31m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
-$8.75 · 212.57 @ 0.959
BUY·33m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
+$112.57 · 212.573334 @ 0.470
SELL·33m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
+$5.70 · 10 @ 0.570
BUY·34m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
-$4.55 · 10 @ 0.455
BUY·36m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
-$20.00 · 400 @ 0.050
SELL·36m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$176.71 · 625 @ 0.283
BUY·37m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
-$100.00 · 625 @ 0.160
SELL·37m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
-$59.82 · 230.06 @ 0.740
BUY·39m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$130.07 · 230.068182 @ 0.435
BUY·41m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
-$100.00 · 243.90244 @ 0.410
SELL·42m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
+$167.31 · 298.77 @ 0.560
BUY·43m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
-$57.19 · 298.77 @ 0.191
SELL·43m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
-$185.29 · 294.11 @ 0.370
BUY·44m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
+$194.12 · 294.117648 @ 0.340
BUY·49m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 270.270271 @ 0.370
BUY·51m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
-$37.22 · 746.428 @ 0.050
BUY·51m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
-$62.78 · 1822.3 @ 0.034
SELL·52m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
-$318.64 · 500 @ 0.363
BUY·52m ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
+$400.00 · 500 @ 0.200
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
-$50.00 · 181.521429 @ 0.275
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
-$100.00 · 262.904616 @ 0.380
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$100.00 · 413.19 @ 0.242
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
-$73.97 · 1774.3 @ 0.042
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
-$26.03 · 520.678 @ 0.050
SELL·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$94.80 · 280.09 @ 0.338
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
-$53.16 · 280.09 @ 0.190
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
-$100.00 · 1874.87 @ 0.053
SELL·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
+$100.02 · 213.42 @ 0.469
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
-$31.61 · 213.42 @ 0.148
SELL·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
-$149.77 · 332.82 @ 0.550
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
+$232.82 · 332.820646 @ 0.300
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
-$40.00 · 4000 @ 0.010
BUY·1h ago·0x76b8…6aa1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
-$100.00 · 400 @ 0.250
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.