Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 282.94 @ 0.844
← leaderboard
PI
Pinkpigking
All-time PnL
-$288.58
Win rate
33.3%
33 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$6.87
30d PnL
-$45.03
30d trades
19
30d wins
3
15.8%
30d volume
$1.93k
Category edge
Politics
34.5%
-9.2pp
n=87
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
33.3% (30 wins / 60 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 16 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 31-day series
$27.07
-$834.25
Trading pattern
Politics Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Politics 97%
Why Politics Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 97% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Politics specialist.
Directional bias: +0.52 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.30 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $27 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.40 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 30¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $26.68 · p90 $121.22
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 00:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 101 @ 0.009
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 446 @ 0.015
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 282.94 @ 0.740
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 65 @ 0.670
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 50 @ 0.710
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 100 @ 0.750
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 50 @ 0.730
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 508.01 @ 0.770
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 456.2 @ 0.870
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?
— +$19.40 · 97 @ 0.800
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?
— +$19.11 · 83.1 @ 0.770
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?
— +$66.54 · 368.88 @ 0.180
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?
— -$15.00 · 50 @ 0.300
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?
— -$73.56 · 249.87 @ 0.294
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?
— -$17.58 · 69.01 @ 0.255
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?
— -$9.29 · 120 @ 0.923
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?
— -$0.70 · 10 @ 0.070
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?
— -$72.65 · 363.23 @ 0.200
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
— +$16.92 · 84.62 @ 0.800
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
— +$251.03 · 327.14 @ 0.233
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
— -$0.25 · 82 @ 0.997
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
— -$48.51 · 173.26 @ 0.280
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
— -$37.71 · 157.14 @ 0.240
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
— +$32.06 · 82 @ 0.609
Yes on Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
— -$2.36 · 6.59 @ 0.358
Yes on Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
— -$2.12 · 163 @ 0.013
Yes on Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
— -$1.56 · 20 @ 0.078
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— +$69.08 · 119.11 @ 0.580
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— -$431.44 · 695.33 @ 0.380
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— +$24.65 · 34.72 @ 0.290
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— -$0.88 · 219.89 @ 0.004
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— +$367.64 · 442.94 @ 0.170
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— +$29.79 · 72.67 @ 0.590
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— +$4.60 · 10 @ 0.540
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— +$1.17 · 6.51 @ 0.180
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— -$1.40 · 10 @ 0.140
Yes on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— -$61.76 · 418.73 @ 0.147
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
— +$67.02 · 115 @ 0.417
No on Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
— -$27.30 · 143.66 @ 0.810
No on Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
— +$22.99 · 143.66 @ 0.840
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
— -$129.63 · 252.56 @ 0.487
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
— +$125.10 · 252.56 @ 0.505
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
— +$29.89 · 1423.3 @ 0.021
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
— +$109.34 · 1561.94 @ 0.070
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
— -$205.52 · 1561.94 @ 0.132
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
— -$6.82 · 227.65 @ 0.030
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
— -$1.12 · 39.14 @ 0.029
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
— -$6.42 · 214.11 @ 0.030
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
— -$6.84 · 208.21 @ 0.033
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.