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OC

OCTOPUSAI-515M2

0x7048…53e0polymarket ↗last active 4m ago
All-time PnL
$655.60
Win rate
76.9%
77 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$25.22
30d PnL
$655.60
30d trades
100
30d wins
20
20.0%
30d volume
$11.9k
Category edge
Crypto
48.5%
-12.3pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
48.5% (48 wins / 51 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 15 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$655.60
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.06 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.45Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $121Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.40 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 45¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $121.00 · p90 $167.18
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·4m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
550 @ 0.220
SELL·6m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
-$211.81 · 366.67 @ 0.422
BUY·6m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
+$245.67 · 366.666665 @ 0.330
SELL·7m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
-$218.58 · 390.32 @ 0.440
BUY·7m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
+$269.32 · 390.322579 @ 0.310
SELL·8m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
-$207.17 · 328.08 @ 0.369
BUY·8m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
+$207.08 · 328.084735 @ 0.369
SELL·8m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
+$198.80 · 414.16 @ 0.480
BUY·9m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
-$121.00 · 414.161665 @ 0.292
SELL·10m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
+$141.65 · 375.85 @ 0.377
BUY·11m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
-$121.00 · 375.848786 @ 0.322
SELL·11m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
+$45.59 · 331.6 @ 0.137
BUY·12m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
-$121.00 · 331.598683 @ 0.365
SELL·13m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
+$1.76 · 7.04 @ 0.250
BUY·13m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
-$2.04 · 7.04 @ 0.290
SELL·14m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
+$188.94 · 695.37 @ 0.272
BUY·14m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
-$121.00 · 695.372776 @ 0.174
SELL·16m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
+$128.17 · 441.95 @ 0.290
BUY·17m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
-$122.00 · 441.954136 @ 0.276
SELL·17m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
-$128.89 · 263.04 @ 0.510
BUY·17m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
+$142.04 · 263.043477 @ 0.460
SELL·18m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
-$175.23 · 310.25 @ 0.435
BUY·19m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
+$189.26 · 310.256409 @ 0.390
BUY·21m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$121.00 · 615.629046 @ 0.197
SELL·21m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$142.96 · 238.26 @ 0.600
BUY·21m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$121.00 · 238.2549 @ 0.508
SELL·21m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$115.89 · 403.33 @ 0.287
BUY·22m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$121.00 · 403.333332 @ 0.300
SELL·22m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$154.28 · 345.71 @ 0.446
BUY·22m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$121.00 · 345.714284 @ 0.350
SELL·22m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$185.06 · 355.89 @ 0.520
BUY·22m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$121.00 · 355.882351 @ 0.340
SELL·22m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$167.18 · 288.24 @ 0.580
BUY·23m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$121.00 · 288.247905 @ 0.420
SELL·23m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$179.57 · 327.02 @ 0.451
BUY·24m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$206.03 · 327.027026 @ 0.370
SELL·24m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$184.25 · 275 @ 0.330
BUY·24m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$154.00 · 275 @ 0.440
SELL·26m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$82.60 · 1316.29 @ 0.063
BUY·26m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
-$121.00 · 1316.294165 @ 0.092
SELL·27m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$162.62 · 631.46 @ 0.258
BUY·27m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
-$121.00 · 399.431561 @ 0.303
SELL·27m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$24.30 · 303.77 @ 0.080
BUY·28m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
-$121.00 · 535.800433 @ 0.226
SELL·28m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
-$45.40 · 108.1 @ 0.580
BUY·29m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$69.48 · 108.1 @ 0.357
SELL·31m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$5.56 · 139.06 @ 0.960
BUY·32m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$18.06 · 139.060908 @ 0.870
SELL·33m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$59.55 · 286.32 @ 0.208
BUY·33m ago·0x7048…53e0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$121.00 · 286.320696 @ 0.423
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.