No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 19?
— 300 @ 0.998
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AB
ABCJOHN34
All-time PnL
$288.44
Win rate
88.2%
88 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$8.09
30d PnL
$275.07
30d trades
100
30d wins
30
30.0%
30d volume
$8.40k
Category edge
Weather
56.4%
avg
n=94
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
56.4% (53 wins / 41 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 23 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 6-day series
$273.31
$0.00
Trading pattern
Weather Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.24 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.87 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $52 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.97 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 87¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $52.08 · p90 $200.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 15:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?
— 109.44 @ 0.998
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?
— 113.7 @ 0.997
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?
— +$2.02 · 202.020203 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?
— 113.707863 @ 0.879
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?
— -$1.00 · 9.09091 @ 0.110
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?
— -$1.00 · 2.040817 @ 0.490
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?
— +$0.40 · 40.404041 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?
— 2.5 @ 0.590
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?
— 2.5 @ 0.400
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?
— -$0.14 · 139.58 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17?
— -$0.03 · 31.12 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17?
— +$1.12 · 31.1224 @ 0.964
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?
— +$1.03 · 20.67 @ 0.950
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?
— +$1.97 · 101.972 @ 0.981
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?
— -$0.01 · 10 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 17?
— -$0.10 · 52.04 @ 0.998
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?
— -$0.04 · 21 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?
— -$0.02 · 10.23 @ 0.998
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?
— +$1.45 · 72.44895 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?
— +$0.23 · 10.2306 @ 0.977
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?
— +$0.41 · 20.40815 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 17?
— +$2.04 · 52.041238 @ 0.961
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?
— +$0.64 · 10.638283 @ 0.940
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?
— +$16.27 · 316.269775 @ 0.949
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?
— +$1.52 · 151.5151 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16?
— -$0.66 · 110.22 @ 0.994
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16?
— -$0.11 · 54 @ 0.998
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?
— -$0.79 · 197.5 @ 0.996
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 16?
— +$1.01 · 101.0101 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?
— +$2.63 · 14.634147 @ 0.820
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?
— +$1.98 · 21.978022 @ 0.910
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?
— -$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?
— +$5.40 · 104.4 @ 0.948
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?
— -$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16?
— +$1.72 · 28.7234 @ 0.940
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16?
— +$7.50 · 107.5 @ 0.930
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?
— +$6.49 · 106.48884 @ 0.939
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?
— +$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 15?
— +$1.24 · 41.2371 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 15?
— +$1.55 · 51.546366 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 15?
— -$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 15?
— -$0.05 · 16.5 @ 0.997
Yes on Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15?
— +$0.48 · 48.484849 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 15?
— -$0.11 · 2.11 @ 0.950
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 15?
— +$2.32 · 12.317072 @ 0.812
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 15?
— -$0.21 · 45.91 @ 0.995
No on Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 15?
— +$0.18 · 16.5 @ 0.989
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 15?
— -$0.10 · 101.04 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 15?
— -$0.81 · 101.03 @ 0.992
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.