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0x6daae04265d65cb2aae7fe6db4210568de7d954a-1783406213213

0x6daa…954apolymarket ↗last active 20m ago
All-time PnL
$2.75k
Win rate
48.9%
49 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$58.36
30d PnL
$2.63k
30d trades
100
30d wins
22
22.0%
30d volume
$4.52k
Category edge
Crypto
30.0%
-31.4pp
n=20
Sports
56.1%
+3.5pp
n=57

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
49.4% (38 wins / 39 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$2.50k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 70%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 70% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.56 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.45Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $9Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.71 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 45¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $9.34 · p90 $95.23
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 14:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·20m ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
+$460.79 · 896.13 @ 0.486
BUY·21m ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
+$690.95 · 856.76 @ 0.194
BUY·43m ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Gangwon FC 0 - 0 Jeju SK FC?
11.833334 @ 0.120
SELL·47m ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Joanna Garland on Singapore Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Viktoria Morvayova
460.82 @ 0.880
BUY·56m ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
-$11.21 · 86.23077 @ 0.130
BUY·1h ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Joanna Garland on Singapore Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Viktoria Morvayova
460.822581 @ 0.620
BUY·1h ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
-$3.27 · 14.863637 @ 0.220
BUY·1h ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
-$2.80 · 12.173914 @ 0.230
BUY·1h ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
-$4.67 · 17.961539 @ 0.260
BUY·1h ago·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 1 - 0 Gwangju FC?
14.615385 @ 0.130
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
-$28.03 · 71.325 @ 0.393
BUY·3h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Over on Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5
136.035715 @ 0.560
BUY·3h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Over on AZ vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5
5.71 @ 0.550
SELL·3h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
San Francisco Giants on San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
+$0.04 · 4.16 @ 0.009
BUY·3h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
+$117.23 · 209.34 @ 0.440
BUY·3h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tochigi City FC 2 - 3 Vegalta Sendai?
27.368422 @ 0.038
BUY·4h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on Will UD Almería win on 2026-09-20?
134.685713 @ 0.700
BUY·4h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
-$1.86 · 5.636364 @ 0.330
SELL·4h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
-$0.23 · 5.87 @ 0.961
SELL·4h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
4.7 @ 0.593
BUY·4h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
4.697987 @ 0.596
SELL·4h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
12.51 @ 0.592
BUY·4h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
12.512563 @ 0.597
BUY·5h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Over on Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5
-$4.76 · 10.347827 @ 0.460
BUY·5h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
-$1.02 · 4.08 @ 0.250
SELL·5h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-19?
+$2.26 · 5.66 @ 0.400
BUY·5h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Fuego on LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
1058.111112 @ 0.090
BUY·5h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
San Francisco Giants on San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
-$1.04 · 4.16 @ 0.250
BUY·5h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
No on Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
10.37777 @ 0.900
BUY·6h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Golden State Valkyries on Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries
+$0.59 · 5.348309 @ 0.890
BUY·6h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
+$108.45 · 203.680852 @ 0.468
BUY·6h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
+$1.12 · 5.876544 @ 0.810
BUY·6h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
-$19.62 · 34.421053 @ 0.570
BUY·6h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Under on Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 156.5
+$2.80 · 5.71 @ 0.510
BUY·7h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-19?
-$1.42 · 2.448276 @ 0.580
BUY·7h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Over on CF Monterrey vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
167.224138 @ 0.569
BUY·7h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Over on CF Monterrey vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
170.053572 @ 0.560
BUY·7h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Over on CF Monterrey vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
170.053572 @ 0.560
BUY·7h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Over on CF Monterrey vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
170.053572 @ 0.560
BUY·7h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-19?
-$1.90 · 3.220339 @ 0.590
BUY·7h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
+$2.15 · 9.756409 @ 0.780
BUY·7h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Over on Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Talleres: Instituto AC Córdoba O/U 1.5
+$4.46 · 7.307693 @ 0.390
SELL·7h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?
18.68 @ 0.680
BUY·8h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: D.C. United SC 2 - 1 Charlotte FC?
-$42.86 · 476.19 @ 0.090
BUY·8h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
-$1.86 · 6.888889 @ 0.270
BUY·8h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
-$3.73 · 6.431035 @ 0.580
SELL·8h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Yes on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
53.38 @ 0.072
BUY·9h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Over on Houston Dynamo vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5
+$1.16 · 3.064515 @ 0.620
SELL·9h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
+$3.66 · 7.46 @ 0.490
BUY·9h agoageing·0x6daa…954awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
-$3.73 · 7.46 @ 0.500
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.