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0x6D8BFB95309ad3FDc49A1E276b979e33d7Fae621-1777809845416

0x6d8b…e621polymarket ↗last active 10m ago
All-time PnL
$40.47
Win rate
51.1%
51 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.95
30d PnL
$42.81
30d trades
100
30d wins
23
23.0%
30d volume
$1.95k
Category edge
Crypto
48.3%
-5.7pp
n=60
Sports
46.2%
+2.5pp
n=26

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
47.7% (41 wins / 45 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 45 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$36.22
-$41.29
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Crypto 70%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 70% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.02 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.34Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $9Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.70 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 34¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $9.43 · p90 $25.22
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·10m ago·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
423.562082 @ 0.236
SELL·14m ago·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
-$272.50 · 413.73 @ 0.341
BUY·16m ago·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$313.73 · 413.7312 @ 0.242
SELL·26m ago·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$136.28 · 379.11 @ 0.359
BUY·26m ago·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
-$100.00 · 379.115924 @ 0.264
BUY·1h ago·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
-$100.00 · 833.333332 @ 0.120
SELL·1h ago·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
+$153.25 · 344.82 @ 0.444
BUY·1h ago·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 344.827585 @ 0.290
SELL·2h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
+$126.66 · 521.82 @ 0.243
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
-$100.00 · 521.824 @ 0.192
SELL·8h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A AND Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
20.703109 @ 0.289
BUY·8h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
-$10.00 · 47.619046 @ 0.210
SELL·8h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
+$7.58 · 30.3 @ 0.250
BUY·8h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
-$10.00 · 30.303029 @ 0.330
BUY·8h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A AND Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
20.703109 @ 0.665
SELL·8h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In AND LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
23.5 @ 0.624
BUY·9h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In AND LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
23.506056 @ 0.713
SELL·9h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In AND LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
30.412179 @ 0.551
BUY·10h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In AND LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
30.412179 @ 0.646
SELL·12h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage AND LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage AND Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega AND Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Guangzhou Gaming (BO3) - Mid Season Cup Group A
11.292191 @ 0.994
SELL·17h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Ninjas in Pyjamas on LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
-$3.67 · 13.11 @ 0.720
BUY·17h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Ninjas in Pyjamas on LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
+$5.11 · 13.114753 @ 0.610
SELL·20h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$23.57 · 35.71 @ 0.660
BUY·20h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
-$10.00 · 35.714284 @ 0.280
SELL·21h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
+$16.67 · 83.33 @ 0.200
BUY·21h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
-$10.00 · 83.333332 @ 0.120
BUY·22h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage AND LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage AND Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega AND Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Guangzhou Gaming (BO3) - Mid Season Cup Group A
11.292191 @ 0.343
SELL·22h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
+$3.05 · 101.8 @ 0.030
BUY·22h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
-$10.00 · 101.8 @ 0.098
SELL·23h agoageing·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: Isurus vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season AND New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
12.40558 @ 0.994
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on Counter-Strike: Isurus vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season AND New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
12.40558 @ 0.312
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
on LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season AND LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season AND Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega AND Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
13.600475 @ 0.356
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Team Lynx on Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
-$30.60 · 38.27 @ 0.200
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Team Lynx on Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
+$28.28 · 38.275713 @ 0.261
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
+$6.54 · 38.46 @ 0.170
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
-$10.00 · 38.461537 @ 0.260
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
+$7.17 · 25.62 @ 0.280
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
-$4.00 · 25.625 @ 0.156
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
+$2.67 · 43.47 @ 0.061
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
-$10.00 · 43.478259 @ 0.230
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
FOKUS on Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
+$12.50 · 125 @ 0.100
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
FOKUS on Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
-$10.00 · 125 @ 0.080
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
FOKUS on Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
+$1.34 · 19.11 @ 0.070
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
-$18.38 · 32.25 @ 0.430
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
+$22.26 · 32.258063 @ 0.310
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
+$14.59 · 27.02 @ 0.540
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
-$10.00 · 27.027026 @ 0.370
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
+$12.59 · 37.03 @ 0.340
BUY·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
-$10.00 · 37.037036 @ 0.270
SELL·1d agostale·0x6d8b…e621why? →
FOKUS on Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
+$1.00 · 5.89 @ 0.170
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.